Who to start · 2025-26
Filip Gustavsson vs Jacob Markstrom
In 2025-26, Filip Gustavsson posted a .904 save percentage to Jacob Markstrom's .883.
Against our expected-goals model, Gustavsson saved +4.1 goals and Markstrom −13.7.
This week Gustavsson has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Markstrom has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project Markstrom for 1.4 ESPN points to Gustavsson's 0.2.
Filip Gustavsson has the better number in 10 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Gustavsson's biggest edges: Overtime losses 6, Goals saved above expected +4.1, Save % .904.
Markstrom's biggest edges: Goals against 130.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Filip Gustavsson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Jacob Markstrom
0.74
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Filip Gustavsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Gustavsson | Markstrom |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.24 | 2.09 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.32 | -5.91 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.98 | 4.47 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Gustavsson vs Markstrom
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Filip Gustavsson shooting on Jacob Markstrom
- Goals
- 0
- Shots on goal
- 1
- Expected goals
- 0.00
- Markstrom SV%
- 1.000
1 unblocked attempts. Close to expected.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Gustavsson | Markstrom |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | MIN 2–5 NJD | 0/0 SV | 21/23 SV |
| 2025-03-31 | MIN 2–3 NJD | 26/28 SV | 28/30 SV |
| 2025-03-29 | MIN 2–5 NJD | 28/33 SV | 22/24 SV |
| 2023-03-07 | MIN 0–1 CGY | 26/26 SV | 40/40 SV |
| 2023-03-04 | MIN 3–0 CGY | 31/31 SV | 30/33 SV |
| 2022-12-07 | MIN 3–5 CGY | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2021-11-14 | OTT 0–4 CGY | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2021-05-09 | OTT 1–6 CGY | 11/13 SV | 19/20 SV |
| 2021-03-24 | OTT 3–1 CGY | 28/29 SV | 28/30 SV |
| 2021-03-22 | OTT 2–1 CGY | 35/36 SV | 21/23 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Filip Gustavsson
2games (1 left)
0.2proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 8th-most FP to GLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS11% to start0.2 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Jacob Markstrom
3games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA76% to start1.4 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Filip Gustavsson or Jacob Markstrom?
- In 2025-26, Filip Gustavsson posted a .904 save percentage to Jacob Markstrom's .883. Against our expected-goals model, Gustavsson saved +4.1 goals and Markstrom −13.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Filip Gustavsson or Jacob Markstrom?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Filip Gustavsson leads in 10 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Gustavsson and Markstrom done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Gustavsson's team went 3–7.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →