Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jacob Markstrom vs Mackenzie Blackwood

In 2025-26, Jacob Markstrom posted a .883 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903.

Against our expected-goals model, Markstrom saved −13.7 goals and Blackwood +5.5.

This week Markstrom has 1 game left; Blackwood has 1 left.

Mackenzie Blackwood has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Markstrom's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.21, Saves 983, Games started 43.

Blackwood's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +5.5, Goals-against average 2.50, Save % .903.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .871 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jacob Markstrom

1.14

fantasy points per game

Mackenzie Blackwood

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mackenzie Blackwood has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarkstromBlackwood
Wins (+4)2.212.46
Goals against (-2)-5.54-4.83
Saves (+0.2)4.384.39
Shutouts (+3)0.070.23
OT losses (+1)0.020.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Markstrom vs Blackwood

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarkstromBlackwood
1Team record in 8 meetings7

Games against each other

Games between Jacob Markstrom and Mackenzie Blackwood
DateScoreMarkstromBlackwood
2025-10-28NJD 4–8 COL34/42 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-10NJD 0–1 SJS0/0 SV44/44 SV
2024-04-09CGY 3–2 SJS0/0 SV38/41 SV
2024-02-15CGY 3–6 SJS0/0 SV31/34 SV
2019-11-10VAN 1–2 NJD25/27 SV30/31 SV
2019-10-19VAN 0–1 NJD0/0 SV25/25 SV
2019-03-15VAN 2–3 NJD31/33 SV25/27 SV
2018-12-31VAN 0–4 NJD0/0 SV25/25 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarkstromBlackwood

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jacob Markstrom

3games (1 left)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA

Mackenzie Blackwood

2games (1 left)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Jacob Markstrom or Mackenzie Blackwood?
In 2025-26, Jacob Markstrom posted a .883 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903. Against our expected-goals model, Markstrom saved −13.7 goals and Blackwood +5.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jacob Markstrom or Mackenzie Blackwood?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mackenzie Blackwood leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Markstrom and Blackwood done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Markstrom's team went 1–7.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →