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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Oettinger vs Jordan Binnington

In 2025-26, Jake Oettinger posted a .899 save percentage to Jordan Binnington's .873.

Against our expected-goals model, Oettinger saved +2.7 goals and Binnington −25.5.

This week Oettinger has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Binnington has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Binnington for 0.9 ESPN points to Oettinger's 0.3.

Jake Oettinger has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Oettinger's biggest edges: Goals-against average 2.59, Wins 35, High-danger save % .822.

Binnington's biggest edges: Goals against 128, Overtime losses 7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .909 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Oettinger

2.39

fantasy points per game

Jordan Binnington

-0.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Oettinger has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOettingerBinnington
Wins (+4)2.591.27
Goals against (-2)-5.11-6.24
Saves (+0.2)4.574.30
Shutouts (+3)0.220.07
OT losses (+1)0.110.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Oettinger vs Binnington

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OettingerBinnington
12Team record in 16 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Jake Oettinger and Jordan Binnington
DateScoreOettingerBinnington
2026-10-02DAL 0–4 STL20/22 SV0/0 SV
2026-02-04DAL 5–4 STL14/18 SV23/28 SV
2026-01-27DAL 4–3 STL23/26 SV20/24 SV
2026-01-23DAL 3–2 STL20/22 SV16/19 SV
2025-10-18DAL 1–3 STL19/21 SV18/19 SV
2025-03-02DAL 6–3 STL39/42 SV9/12 SV
2025-01-25DAL 2–0 STL0/0 SV17/19 SV
2024-12-14DAL 2–1 STL15/16 SV35/37 SV
2024-04-17DAL 2–1 STL25/26 SV36/37 SV
2023-10-12DAL 2–1 STL23/24 SV33/34 SV
2023-04-13DAL 1–0 STL25/25 SV33/34 SV
2023-04-12DAL 5–2 STL0/0 SV0/0 SV

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OettingerBinnington

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Oettinger

2games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B12% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Jordan Binnington

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B97% to start0.9 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Oettinger or Jordan Binnington?
In 2025-26, Jake Oettinger posted a .899 save percentage to Jordan Binnington's .873. Against our expected-goals model, Oettinger saved +2.7 goals and Binnington −25.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jake Oettinger or Jordan Binnington?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Oettinger leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Oettinger and Binnington done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Oettinger's team went 12–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →