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Who to start · 2025-26

John Gibson vs Jordan Binnington

In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Jordan Binnington's .873.

Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Binnington −25.5.

This week Gibson has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Binnington has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Gibson for 1.6 ESPN points to Binnington's 0.9.

John Gibson has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Gibson's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +13.8, Save % .901, Wins 29.

Binnington's biggest edges: Overtime losses 7, Goals against 128.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .950 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Gibson

1.94

fantasy points per game

Jordan Binnington

-0.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Gibson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGibsonBinnington
Wins (+4)2.041.27
Goals against (-2)-5.05-6.24
Saves (+0.2)4.624.30
Shutouts (+3)0.260.07
OT losses (+1)0.070.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Gibson vs Binnington

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GibsonBinnington
6Team record in 21 meetings15

Games against each other

Games between John Gibson and Jordan Binnington
DateScoreGibsonBinnington
2025-10-28DET 5–2 STL20/22 SV15/19 SV
2025-10-25DET 6–4 STL25/29 SV22/27 SV
2025-01-09ANA 2–6 STL12/12 SV0/0 SV
2024-03-17ANA 2–4 STL0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-11-19ANA 1–3 STL29/32 SV0/0 SV
2023-03-25ANA 3–6 STL30/36 SV22/25 SV
2022-11-21ANA 1–3 STL24/26 SV27/28 SV
2022-11-19ANA 2–6 STL24/29 SV30/32 SV
2022-04-24ANA 3–6 STL31/37 SV0/0 SV
2021-11-07ANA 4–1 STL34/35 SV23/26 SV
2021-05-03ANA 1–3 STL29/31 SV19/20 SV
2021-03-26ANA 4–1 STL33/34 SV20/22 SV

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GibsonBinnington

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Gibson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG76% to start1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Jordan Binnington

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B97% to start0.9 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start John Gibson or Jordan Binnington?
In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Jordan Binnington's .873. Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Binnington −25.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, John Gibson or Jordan Binnington?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Gibson leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Gibson and Binnington done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Gibson's team went 6–15.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →