Who to start · 2025-26
John Gibson vs Mackenzie Blackwood
In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903.
Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Blackwood +5.5.
This week Gibson has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts); Blackwood has 1 left (about 0.2 expected starts). We project Gibson for 1.4 ESPN points to Blackwood's 0.4.
John Gibson has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Gibson's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.10, Saves 1,317, Overtime losses 4.
Blackwood's biggest edges: Goals against 90, Goals-against average 2.50, High-danger save % .821.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .950 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .871 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Gibson
1.95
fantasy points per game
Mackenzie Blackwood
2.31
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mackenzie Blackwood has the edge.
| Points per game from | Gibson | Blackwood |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.91 | 2.46 |
| Goals against (-2) | -4.86 | -4.83 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.57 | 4.39 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Gibson vs Blackwood
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Gibson | Blackwood |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | DET 2–0 COL | 21/21 SV | 23/24 SV |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0–5 COL | 13/17 SV | 28/28 SV |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2–4 COL | 19/22 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-01-31 | ANA 3–2 SJS | 26/28 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-01-20 | ANA 3–5 SJS | 14/18 SV | 31/34 SV |
| 2023-11-12 | ANA 4–1 SJS | 25/26 SV | 40/44 SV |
| 2023-01-13 | ANA 2–6 NJD | 33/39 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2022-10-18 | ANA 2–4 NJD | 0/0 SV | 18/20 SV |
| 2021-11-02 | ANA 4–0 NJD | 28/28 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2020-03-01 | ANA 0–3 NJD | 31/34 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2019-12-18 | ANA 1–3 NJD | 0/0 SV | 26/27 SV |
| 2019-01-19 | ANA 3–2 NJD | 29/31 SV | 11/14 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Gibson
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG81% to start1.4 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Mackenzie Blackwood
2games (1 left)
0.4proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL20% to start0.4 ptsSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Gibson or Mackenzie Blackwood?
- In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903. Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Blackwood +5.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, John Gibson or Mackenzie Blackwood?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Gibson leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Gibson and Blackwood done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Gibson's team went 5–7.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →