Who to start · 2025-26
Jordan Binnington vs Samuel Ersson
In 2025-26, Jordan Binnington posted a .873 save percentage to Samuel Ersson's .870.
Against our expected-goals model, Binnington saved −25.5 goals and Ersson −13.0.
This week Binnington has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ersson has 1 left.
Samuel Ersson has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Binnington's biggest edges: Shutouts 1, Saves 882, Overtime losses 7.
Ersson's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.53, High-danger save % .792, Goals against 97.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jordan Binnington
-0.43
fantasy points per game
Samuel Ersson
-0.11
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Samuel Ersson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Binnington | Ersson |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.27 | 1.70 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.24 | -5.88 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.30 | 3.92 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Binnington vs Ersson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Binnington | Ersson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | STL 2–3 PHI | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-11-14 | STL 5–6 PHI | 26/31 SV | 12/17 SV |
| 2024-10-31 | STL 1–2 PHI | 19/21 SV | 20/21 SV |
| 2024-03-04 | STL 2–1 PHI | 41/42 SV | 24/25 SV |
| 2024-01-15 | STL 2–4 PHI | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-04-04 | STL 4–2 PHI | 32/34 SV | 28/31 SV |
| 2022-11-08 | STL 1–5 PHI | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jordan Binnington
2games (1 left)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows the most FP to G
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2BOpp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Samuel Ersson
1games
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOROpp allows 12th-most FP to G
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jordan Binnington or Samuel Ersson?
- In 2025-26, Jordan Binnington posted a .873 save percentage to Samuel Ersson's .870. Against our expected-goals model, Binnington saved −25.5 goals and Ersson −13.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Jordan Binnington or Samuel Ersson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Samuel Ersson leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Binnington and Ersson done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Binnington's team went 2–5.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →