Who to start · 2025-26
Juuse Saros vs Lukas Dostal
In 2025-26, Juuse Saros posted a .893 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888.
Against our expected-goals model, Saros saved −3.4 goals and Dostal −3.6.
This week Saros has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts); Dostal has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project Dostal for 1.3 ESPN points to Saros's 1.0.
They split the 11 stats both are ranked on 5–5.
Saros's biggest edges: Overtime losses 8, Saves 1,519, Save % .893.
Dostal's biggest edges: High-danger save % .816, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.51, Wins 30.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .900 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Juuse Saros
0.95
fantasy points per game
Lukas Dostal
1.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Lukas Dostal has the edge.
| Points per game from | Saros | Dostal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.78 | 2.26 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.13 | -6.03 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 5.16 | 4.84 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Saros vs Dostal
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Saros | Dostal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | NSH 4–5 ANA | 35/40 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2026-04-07 | NSH 5–0 ANA | 0/0 SV | 20/25 SV |
| 2025-10-21 | NSH 2–5 ANA | 27/32 SV | 26/28 SV |
| 2025-03-20 | NSH 1–4 ANA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-03-14 | NSH 1–2 ANA | 13/15 SV | 28/29 SV |
| 2025-01-25 | NSH 2–5 ANA | 30/35 SV | 32/33 SV |
| 2024-02-25 | NSH 4–2 ANA | 0/0 SV | 25/28 SV |
| 2024-01-09 | NSH 3–5 ANA | 28/33 SV | 39/42 SV |
| 2023-11-14 | NSH 2–3 ANA | 17/20 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-03-12 | NSH 5–4 ANA | 33/37 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2022-12-30 | NSH 6–1 ANA | 26/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Juuse Saros
2games (1 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.9 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL90% to start1.0 ptsSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Lukas Dostal
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA84% to start1.3 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Juuse Saros or Lukas Dostal?
- In 2025-26, Juuse Saros posted a .893 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888. Against our expected-goals model, Saros saved −3.4 goals and Dostal −3.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Juuse Saros or Lukas Dostal?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 5–5 across 11 stats where both qualify.
- How have Saros and Dostal done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Saros's team went 4–7.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →