Who to start · 2025-26
Lukas Dostal vs Sergei Bobrovsky
In 2025-26, Lukas Dostal posted a .888 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877.
Against our expected-goals model, Dostal saved −3.6 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3.
This week Dostal has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts); Bobrovsky has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts). We project Bobrovsky for 1.7 ESPN points to Dostal's 1.3.
Lukas Dostal has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Dostal's biggest edges: High-danger save % .816, Overtime losses 4, Goals saved above expected −3.6.
Bobrovsky's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Goals against 154, Goals-against average 3.07.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Lukas Dostal
1.13
fantasy points per game
Sergei Bobrovsky
0.48
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Lukas Dostal has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dostal | Bobrovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.26 | 1.95 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.03 | -5.93 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.84 | 4.21 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dostal vs Bobrovsky
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dostal | Bobrovsky |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | ANA 7–3 FLA | 18/21 SV | 25/32 SV |
| 2025-10-28 | ANA 3–2 FLA | 31/33 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-01-21 | ANA 2–5 FLA | 24/29 SV | 28/30 SV |
| 2025-01-18 | ANA 0–3 FLA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-01-15 | ANA 5–4 FLA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-11-17 | ANA 1–2 FLA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-02-20 | ANA 3–4 FLA | 0/0 SV | 29/32 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Lukas Dostal
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 15th-most FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA84% to start1.3 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Sergei Bobrovsky
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
About 0.9 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT88% to start1.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Lukas Dostal or Sergei Bobrovsky?
- In 2025-26, Lukas Dostal posted a .888 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877. Against our expected-goals model, Dostal saved −3.6 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Lukas Dostal or Sergei Bobrovsky?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Lukas Dostal leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dostal and Bobrovsky done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Dostal's team went 3–4.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →