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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

Name: Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws) (2026-27)
Creator: Edgehalla

2026-27All situationsThrough 3 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2026-27: Quinton Byfield (LAK), +0.563 DrEq/100.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Strength5-on-5 All situations

Early sample: teams have played at most 3 games in 2026-27. Expect big swings.

112 qualified

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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2026-27, All situations
#	Player	Team		Draws			OZ+DZ draws
1	Quinton ByfieldFLAK	LAK	+0.563	16	+0.09	87.5%	10	86%▲18
2	Vincent TrocheckFUTA	UTA	+0.543	14	+0.08	78.6%	14	88%▼5.4
3	Adam FantilliFCBJ	CBJ	+0.480	20	+0.10	80.0%	17	92%▲10
4	Morgan FrostFCGY	CGY	+0.461	9	+0.04	77.8%	6	23%▲17
5	Alex TurcotteFLAK	LAK	+0.433	12	+0.05	83.3%	6	8.8%▲8.8
6	Boone JennerFWSH	WSH	+0.397	17	+0.07	76.5%	14	21%▲16
7	Alex NewhookFMTL	MTL	+0.394	9	+0.04	77.8%	7	26%▲23
8	Wyatt JohnstonFDAL	DAL	+0.317	9	+0.03	66.7%	7	100%▲0.9
9	Noel AcciariFPHI	PHI	+0.294	27	+0.08	66.7%	18	3.3%▲3.1
10	Marco KasperFDET	DET	+0.279	14	+0.04	71.4%	11	28%▲27
11	William KarlssonFVGK	VGK	+0.268	34	+0.09	70.6%	23	24%▲20
12	Evan RodriguesFNJD	NJD	+0.260	21	+0.05	66.7%	17	8.3%▲6.5
13	Matt CoronatoFCGY	CGY	+0.250	9	+0.02	66.7%	6	40%▲6.3
14	Sean KuralyFBOS	BOS	+0.238	17	+0.04	58.8%	11	0.2%
15	Sean CouturierFPHI	PHI	+0.238	17	+0.04	58.8%	13	9.2%▲7.2
16	Anton LundellFFLA	FLA	+0.219	26	+0.06	61.5%	20	46%▲31
17	Nick SuzukiFMTL	MTL	+0.208	12	+0.03	58.3%	7	100%▲0.5
18	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	+0.200	22	+0.04	59.1%	19	84%▲5
19	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	+0.194	32	+0.06	56.3%	22	78%▲13
20	Mavrik BourqueFNSH	NSH	+0.183	9	+0.02	66.7%	5	34%▲30
21	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	+0.181	29	+0.05	55.2%	15	100%▲1.5
22	Sebastian AhoFCAR	CAR	+0.180	27	+0.05	63.0%	20	99%▲1.2
23	Mika ZibanejadFNYR	NYR	+0.163	45	+0.07	60.0%	33	98%▲1.4
24	Mark ScheifeleFWPG	WPG	+0.158	12	+0.02	58.3%	6	99%
25	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	+0.150	23	+0.03	56.5%	10	99%
26	Jake GuentzelFTBL	TBL	+0.150	11	+0.02	63.6%	9	100%
27	Frederick GaudreauFSEA	SEA	+0.141	11	+0.02	54.5%	8	0.2%
28	Logan CooleyFUTA	UTA	+0.140	10	+0.01	70.0%	6	94%▲9.3
29	Scott LaughtonFLAK	LAK	+0.136	14	+0.02	57.1%	8	5.6%▲5.5
30	Sam BennettFFLA	FLA	+0.133	18	+0.02	50.0%	10	84%▲4.3
31	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	+0.127	13	+0.02	61.5%	11	83%▲11
32	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	+0.120	43	+0.05	51.2%	30	20%▲13
33	Barrett HaytonFUTA	UTA	+0.117	9	+0.01	66.7%	4	11%▲11
34	Elias LindholmFBOS	BOS	+0.095	29	+0.03	51.7%	22	43%▲4.7
35	Mark JankowskiFCAR	CAR	+0.086	25	+0.02	52.0%	15	0.2%
36	Marco RossiFVAN	VAN	+0.086	14	+0.01	50.0%	10	60%▲14
37	Charlie CoyleFCBJ	CBJ	+0.085	17	+0.01	47.1%	11	49%▼11
38	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	+0.078	18	+0.01	61.1%	10	97%▲2.3
39	Jack EichelFVGK	VGK	+0.074	34	+0.03	52.9%	23	99%▲1.4
40	Christian DvorakFPHI	PHI	+0.068	33	+0.02	54.5%	24	16%▲13
41	Owen MichaelsFEDM	EDM	+0.067	18	+0.01	50.0%	8	3.2%▲3.2
42	Michael McCarronFMIN	MIN	+0.063	15	+0.01	53.3%	11	7.3%▲6.9
43	Jake EvansFMTL	MTL	+0.062	17	+0.01	58.8%	12	5.7%▲5.2
44	Colton SissonsFTOR	TOR	+0.056	17	+0.01	52.9%	13	3.3%▲3.1
45	Sean MonahanFCBJ	CBJ	+0.050	20	+0.01	40.0%	8	19%▲13
46	Mikael GranlundFANA	ANA	+0.050	12	+0.01	50.0%	9	52%▼12
47	J.T. MillerFNYR	NYR	+0.048	47	+0.02	53.2%	36	92%▲7.7
48	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	+0.045	21	+0.01	52.4%	13	9.2%▲7.8
49	Tim WasheFANA	ANA	+0.045	21	+0.01	52.4%	15	4.0%▲4
50	Alexander WennbergFSJS	SJS	+0.039	18	+0.01	55.6%	10	25%▼1.6
51	J.T. CompherFDET	DET	+0.037	16	+0.01	50.0%	13	4.0%▲3.9
52	Paul CotterFVAN	VAN	+0.032	22	+0.01	54.5%	12	19%▲19
53	Chandler StephensonFSEA	SEA	+0.030	20	+0.01	50.0%	15	17%▲13
54	Adam LowryFWPG	WPG	+0.027	22	+0.01	50.0%	17	5.7%▲5.5
55	Noah CatesFPHI	PHI	+0.027	22	+0.01	50.0%	15	18%▲15
56	Joseph VelenoFNYR	NYR	+0.027	39	+0.01	53.8%	26	4.1%▲3.9
57	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	+0.025	24	+0.01	50.0%	21	96%▲9.3
58	Michael MisaFSJS	SJS	+0.023	11	+0.00	45.5%	7	60%▲48
59	Colton DachFEDM	EDM	+0.004	24	+0.00	54.2%	11	11%▲11
60	Aleksander BarkovFFLA	FLA	+0.004	26	+0.00	53.8%	17	97%▲7
61	Elias PetterssonFVAN	VAN	0.000	50	0.00	50.0%	32	87%▼5.5
62	Blake LizotteFPIT	PIT	0.000	16	0.00	50.0%	14	0.1%
63	Phillip DanaultFMTL	MTL	0.000	10	0.00	50.0%	8	4.9%▲4.5
64	Joel Eriksson EkFMIN	MIN	−0.005	22	−0.00	45.5%	17	82%▲10
65	Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI	NYI	−0.019	13	−0.00	53.8%	9	12%▲11
66	Robert ThomasFSTL	STL	−0.030	20	−0.01	50.0%	17	93%▲20
67	Radek FaksaFDAL	DAL	−0.032	11	−0.00	45.5%	4	0.1%
68	Frank NazarFCHI	CHI	−0.034	31	−0.01	45.2%	22	54%▲34
69	Mikael BacklundFCGY	CGY	−0.040	21	−0.01	52.4%	14	14%▲9.3
70	Erik HaulaFLAK	LAK	−0.041	11	−0.00	36.4%	7	12%▲8.7
71	Ryan HartmanFMIN	MIN	−0.043	14	−0.01	50.0%	11	40%▼17
72	Macklin CelebriniFSJS	SJS	−0.050	12	−0.01	50.0%	9	100%▲1
73	Tomas HertlFVGK	VGK	−0.063	23	−0.01	52.2%	19	84%▲3.2
74	Nick PaulFTOR	TOR	−0.063	15	−0.01	46.7%	9	8.1%▲7.7
75	Pierre-Luc DuboisFWSH	WSH	−0.065	13	−0.01	53.8%	6	42%▲33
76	Nic DowdFVGK	VGK	−0.079	21	−0.02	42.9%	11	3.2%▲3.1
77	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	−0.093	37	−0.03	45.9%	32	100%
78	Anthony CirelliFTBL	TBL	−0.095	20	−0.02	45.0%	14	51%▲19
79	Bo HorvatFNYI	NYI	−0.110	15	−0.02	40.0%	11	90%▲1.2
80	Trevor ZegrasFPHI	PHI	−0.118	19	−0.02	42.1%	14	86%▲18
81	Jack DruryFNSH	NSH	−0.119	13	−0.02	46.2%	8	5.6%▲5.4
82	Leo CarlssonFANA	ANA	−0.119	13	−0.02	46.2%	8	94%▲11
83	Sidney CrosbyFPIT	PIT	−0.125	20	−0.03	45.0%	13	100%▲2.4
84	Roman KantserovFCHI	CHI	−0.138	24	−0.03	37.5%	14	58%▲48
85	Noah LabaFNYR	NYR	−0.150	30	−0.04	40.0%	24	11%▲11
86	Vladislav NamestnikovFWPG	WPG	−0.161	9	−0.01	55.6%	5	0.1%
87	Matty BeniersFSEA	SEA	−0.168	17	−0.03	41.2%	11	50%▼1.5
88	Logan StankovenFCAR	CAR	−0.169	21	−0.04	38.1%	15	67%▲42
89	Casey CizikasFNYI	NYI	−0.172	9	−0.02	44.4%	6	0.1%
90	Fraser MintenFBOS	BOS	−0.183	15	−0.03	46.7%	12	47%▲38
91	Noah OstlundFBUF	BUF	−0.186	11	−0.02	54.5%	4	25%▲24
92	Nathan MacKinnonFCOL	COL	−0.190	15	−0.03	40.0%	9	100%▲0.9
93	Dalibor DvorskyFSTL	STL	−0.190	10	−0.02	40.0%	8	28%▲28
94	Ryan McLeodFBUF	BUF	−0.230	15	−0.03	40.0%	8	26%▲20
95	Sam CarrickFBUF	BUF	−0.250	10	−0.03	40.0%	7	0.1%
96	Ryan StromeFCGY	CGY	−0.250	9	−0.02	33.3%	8	4.0%▲3.9
97	Max SassonFVAN	VAN	−0.255	22	−0.06	40.9%	11	4.9%▲4.9
98	Lars EllerFFLA	FLA	−0.258	24	−0.06	41.7%	14	0.2%
99	Tage ThompsonFBUF	BUF	−0.264	14	−0.04	42.9%	9	100%▲1.3
100	Ryan GreeneFCHI	CHI	−0.275	28	−0.08	32.1%	19	10%▲10

Minimum sample: 9.0 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 124 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

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