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Shot Diet Leaders (ixG per Attempt)

Name: Shot Diet Leaders (ixG per Attempt) (2023-24)
Creator: Edgehalla

2023-245-on-5Through 82 team games

Shot Diet asks one question: when this player shoots, how good is the shot on average? It divides his individual expected goals by his unblocked attempts at 5-on-5. Net-front scorers and slot-crashers top it; point men and perimeter volume shooters sit at the bottom.

It is one of the most repeatable things a shooter does, far steadier than shooting percentage, which is why it is the number to check before believing a hot or cold finishing streak.

Leader in 2023-24: Dakota Joshua (VAN), 0.106 ixG/att.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

562 qualified

Show

Shot Diet Leaders (ixG per Attempt), 2023-24, 5-on-5
#	Player	Team				G
1	Dakota JoshuaFVAN	VAN	0.106	106	11.2	14	+2.75	4.8%▲4.6
2	Mark JankowskiFNSH	NSH	0.101	68	6.9	6	−0.88	0.2%
3	Zach HymanFEDM	EDM	0.101	297	29.9	36	+6.09	98%▼1.4
4	Marcus FolignoFMIN	MIN	0.100	69	6.9	8	+1.12	4.1%▲3.4
5	Mattias JanmarkFEDM	EDM	0.100	79	7.9	4	−3.87	0.0%
6	Dawson MercerFNJD	NJD	0.099	149	14.8	16	+1.25	25%▲19
7	Jack McBainFARI	ARI	0.096	82	7.9	7	−0.90	18%▲15
8	Ivan BarbashevFVGK	VGK	0.096	145	14.0	15	+1.03	67%▲26
9	Tomas TatarFSEA/COL	SEA/COL	0.096	110	10.5	9	−1.52	—
10	Brayden PointFTBL	TBL	0.095	211	20.0	28	+8.01	95%▲7.7
11	Jesper FastFCAR	CAR	0.095	99	9.4	6	−3.38	—
12	Max JonesFANA	ANA	0.093	96	9.0	5	−3.97	0.1%
13	Mark ScheifeleFWPG	WPG	0.093	158	14.7	13	−1.75	100%
14	J.T. CompherFDET	DET	0.093	92	8.6	10	+1.42	4.0%▲3.9
15	Corey PerryFEDM/CHI	EDM/CHI	0.093	92	8.6	9	+0.43	7.4%▲5.9
16	Jake NeighboursFSTL	STL	0.093	134	12.5	18	+5.55	30%▲26
17	Anthony DuclairFSJS/TBL	SJS/TBL	0.093	137	12.7	19	+6.27	3.3%▲3
18	Ryan Nugent-HopkinsFEDM	EDM	0.093	184	17.0	11	−6.03	77%▲15
19	Jakub LaukoFBOS	BOS	0.092	67	6.2	2	−4.19	—
20	Anthony CirelliFTBL	TBL	0.092	147	13.6	11	−2.57	51%▲19
21	Jake GuentzelFPIT/CAR	PIT/CAR	0.092	228	21.0	19	−2.03	100%
22	Connor McMichaelFWSH	WSH	0.092	166	15.2	13	−2.24	34%▲27
23	Philip TomasinoFNSH	NSH	0.091	80	7.3	7	−0.27	—
24	Brett HowdenFVGK	VGK	0.091	99	9.0	6	−3.00	15%▲15
25	Pius SuterFVAN	VAN	0.090	113	10.2	11	+0.83	4.1%▲3.3
26	Connor ZaryFCGY	CGY	0.089	93	8.3	13	+4.69	10%▲10
27	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	0.089	123	10.9	13	+2.06	77%▲12
28	Juraj SlafkovskýFMTL	MTL	0.088	163	14.4	13	−1.39	99%▲0.8
29	Teddy BluegerFVAN	VAN	0.088	118	10.4	4	−6.41	4.8%▲4.6
30	Pontus HolmbergFTOR	TOR	0.088	75	6.6	7	+0.43	0.1%
31	Luke KuninFSJS	SJS	0.088	124	10.9	8	−2.86	0.0%
32	Matthew KniesFTOR	TOR	0.088	146	12.8	15	+2.21	94%▲14
33	Stefan NoesenFCAR	CAR	0.087	151	13.2	11	−2.19	0.1%
34	Brandon HagelFTBL	TBL	0.087	207	18.1	16	−2.08	100%▲1.9
35	Nicolas RoyFVGK	VGK	0.087	116	10.1	9	−1.13	4.9%▲4.7
36	Casey MittelstadtFBUF/COL	BUF/COL	0.087	122	10.6	13	+2.36	14%▲12
37	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	0.087	171	14.9	16	+1.11	82%▲10
38	Robby FabbriFDET	DET	0.087	103	8.9	13	+4.06	—
39	Alexander KerfootFARI	ARI	0.087	117	10.2	8	−2.15	3.2%▲3.1
40	Zach BensonFBUF	BUF	0.087	116	10.1	10	−0.06	56%▲44
41	Cole SmithFNSH	NSH	0.087	130	11.3	7	−4.27	0.1%
42	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	0.086	121	10.4	10	−0.45	8.3%▲7
43	Brandon SaadFSTL	STL	0.086	152	13.1	18	+4.88	—
44	Michael AmadioFVGK	VGK	0.086	129	11.1	11	−0.13	3.3%▲2.6
45	Nic DowdFWSH	WSH	0.086	76	6.5	11	+4.45	3.2%▲3.1
46	James van RiemsdykFBOS	BOS	0.086	128	11.0	4	−6.99	0.3%
47	Alex NewhookFMTL	MTL	0.086	89	7.6	12	+4.38	26%▲23
48	Sam LaffertyFVAN	VAN	0.085	107	9.1	12	+2.86	0.0%
49	Chandler StephensonFVGK	VGK	0.085	91	7.8	8	+0.23	17%▲13
50	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	0.085	144	12.3	11	−1.28	84%▲5.1
51	Adam LowryFWPG	WPG	0.085	172	14.7	9	−5.65	5.7%▲5.5
52	Tyler BertuzziFTOR	TOR	0.085	193	16.4	15	−1.35	62%▼3.2
53	Jake DeBruskFBOS	BOS	0.085	187	15.8	13	−2.84	49%▼20
54	Vladislav NamestnikovFWPG	WPG	0.084	119	10.0	6	−4.05	0.1%
55	Valeri NichushkinFCOL	COL	0.084	146	12.3	9	−3.31	60%
56	Michael McLeodFNJD	NJD	0.084	91	7.7	9	+1.34	—
57	Brock NelsonFNYI	NYI	0.084	231	19.4	22	+2.57	87%▼4
58	Will CuylleFNYR	NYR	0.084	147	12.3	11	−1.34	64%
59	Bryan RustFPIT	PIT	0.084	214	17.9	19	+1.09	86%▲3.2
60	Artturi LehkonenFCOL	COL	0.084	88	7.4	6	−1.36	54%▲37
61	Jordan EberleFSEA	SEA	0.084	185	15.5	9	−6.45	30%▲2.6
62	Andrew MangiapaneFCGY	CGY	0.083	154	12.8	7	−5.84	4.0%▲3.9
63	Michael RasmussenFDET	DET	0.083	128	10.7	11	+0.34	0.1%
64	Reilly SmithFPIT	PIT	0.083	171	14.2	12	−2.22	—
65	Ridly GreigFOTT	OTT	0.083	120	10.0	9	−0.98	15%▲13
66	Ilya MikheyevFVAN	VAN	0.083	172	14.3	11	−3.28	8.4%▲6.8
67	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	0.083	237	19.7	15	−4.67	96%▲9.3
68	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	0.083	244	20.2	19	−1.23	100%▲1.5
69	Kyle ConnorFWPG	WPG	0.083	212	17.5	22	+4.45	99%▲1
70	Steven StamkosFTBL	TBL	0.083	180	14.9	14	−0.88	94%▼3.7
71	Noel AcciariFPIT	PIT	0.083	74	6.1	4	−2.12	3.3%▲3.1
72	Dylan HollowayFEDM	EDM	0.082	74	6.1	5	−1.10	95%▲9.2
73	Yakov TreninFNSH/COL	NSH/COL	0.082	169	13.9	11	−2.94	22%▲16
74	Danton HeinenFBOS	BOS	0.082	152	12.5	14	+1.47	0.0%
75	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	0.082	164	13.5	18	+4.50	98%▲3
76	Tyler SeguinFDAL	DAL	0.082	169	13.9	20	+6.11	22%▲18
77	Sean MonahanFMTL/WPG	MTL/WPG	0.082	151	12.4	14	+1.59	19%▲13
78	Jonathan DrouinFCOL	COL	0.082	146	12.0	13	+1.00	0.5%
79	Nils HoglanderFVAN	VAN	0.082	160	13.1	24	+10.86	4.0%▲3.9
80	Joe PavelskiFDAL	DAL	0.082	170	14.0	12	−1.96	—
81	Evgeni MalkinFPIT	PIT	0.082	170	14.0	19	+5.05	82%▲10
82	Justin DanforthFCBJ	CBJ	0.082	120	9.8	8	−1.84	0.0%
83	Dylan CozensFBUF	BUF	0.082	183	15.0	8	−7.00	90%▲3.6
84	Lawson CrouseFARI	ARI	0.082	192	15.7	15	−0.68	36%▲13
85	Drew O'ConnorFPIT	PIT	0.082	199	16.2	13	−3.23	5.9%▲4.5
86	Ryan McLeodFEDM	EDM	0.081	146	11.9	11	−0.88	26%▲20
87	Josh NorrisFOTT	OTT	0.081	93	7.6	10	+2.45	39%▲32
88	Beck MalenstynFWSH	WSH	0.081	125	10.1	6	−4.10	4.1%▲3.7
89	Paul CotterFVGK	VGK	0.081	145	11.7	5	−6.71	14%▲14
90	Marco RossiFMIN	MIN	0.081	183	14.8	18	+3.23	58%▲12
91	Dmitri VoronkovFCBJ	CBJ	0.081	148	11.9	11	−0.95	19%▲17
92	Charlie CoyleFBOS	BOS	0.081	144	11.6	14	+2.38	48%▼12
93	Lucas RaymondFDET	DET	0.081	159	12.8	17	+4.17	96%▲10
94	Johnny GaudreauFCBJ	CBJ	0.081	148	11.9	7	−4.93	—
95	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	0.080	357	28.7	38	+9.27	99%
96	Brock BoeserFVAN	VAN	0.080	170	13.7	18	+4.35	63%▼5.5
97	Casey CizikasFNYI	NYI	0.080	104	8.4	9	+0.65	0.1%
98	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	0.080	175	14.0	15	+0.95	100%
99	Alexey ToropchenkoFSTL	STL	0.080	132	10.6	11	+0.43	0.1%
100	Aleksander BarkovFFLA	FLA	0.080	175	14.0	13	−1.01	97%▲7.2

Minimum sample: 66 attempts (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 339 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Expected goals per unblocked attempt. League average is about 0.06-0.07; 0.10+ is an elite diet.

How reliable is it?

Very stable: split-half r ≈ 0.68, one of the strongest individual signals in the data.

How Shot Diet is measured →

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