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Shot Diet Leaders (ixG per Attempt)

Name: Shot Diet Leaders (ixG per Attempt) (2024-25)
Creator: Edgehalla

2024-255-on-5Through 82 team games

Shot Diet asks one question: when this player shoots, how good is the shot on average? It divides his individual expected goals by his unblocked attempts at 5-on-5. Net-front scorers and slot-crashers top it; point men and perimeter volume shooters sit at the bottom.

It is one of the most repeatable things a shooter does, far steadier than shooting percentage, which is why it is the number to check before believing a hot or cold finishing streak.

Leader in 2024-25: Dakota Joshua (VAN), 0.106 ixG/att.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

568 qualified

Show

Shot Diet Leaders (ixG per Attempt), 2024-25, 5-on-5
#	Player	Team				G
1	Dakota JoshuaFVAN	VAN	0.106	78	8.3	5	−3.30	4.8%▲4.6
2	Vladislav NamestnikovFWPG	WPG	0.106	110	11.6	7	−4.61	0.1%
3	Zach HymanFEDM	EDM	0.103	234	24.0	19	−5.03	98%▼1.4
4	Matthew KniesFTOR	TOR	0.099	167	16.6	22	+5.40	94%▲14
5	Josh AndersonFMTL	MTL	0.099	151	15.0	12	−2.96	10%▲9.2
6	Artturi LehkonenFCOL	COL	0.097	172	16.7	21	+4.31	54%▲37
7	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	0.097	130	12.6	8	−4.58	77%▲12
8	Andrew MangiapaneFWSH	WSH	0.097	115	11.1	11	−0.11	4.0%▲3.9
9	Pavel BuchnevichFSTL	STL	0.096	157	15.1	16	+0.95	36%▲7.7
10	Jackson BlakeFCAR	CAR	0.095	148	14.1	12	−2.09	68%▲21
11	Mark ScheifeleFWPG	WPG	0.095	182	17.3	19	+1.74	100%
12	Mark JankowskiFNSH/CAR	NSH/CAR	0.094	90	8.5	11	+2.51	0.2%
13	Paul CotterFNJD	NJD	0.094	136	12.8	15	+2.19	14%▲14
14	Brayden PointFTBL	TBL	0.094	175	16.5	21	+4.52	95%▲7.7
15	Alex NewhookFMTL	MTL	0.094	157	14.7	12	−2.73	26%▲23
16	Morgan GeekieFBOS	BOS	0.093	191	17.8	26	+8.18	97%▲8.6
17	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	0.093	168	15.6	20	+4.38	96%▲9.3
18	Marco RossiFMIN	MIN	0.093	143	13.3	14	+0.71	58%▲12
19	Bobby BrinkFPHI	PHI	0.092	115	10.6	9	−1.63	14%▲12
20	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	0.092	83	7.7	6	−1.67	8.3%▲7
21	Philipp KurashevFCHI	CHI	0.092	73	6.7	5	−1.69	0.1%
22	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	0.092	146	13.4	19	+5.63	82%▲10
23	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	0.091	209	19.1	15	−4.10	100%▲1.5
24	Frank NazarFCHI	CHI	0.091	104	9.5	6	−3.49	54%▲34
25	Anthony CirelliFTBL	TBL	0.091	171	15.6	15	−0.60	51%▲19
26	Jamie BennFDAL	DAL	0.091	142	12.9	15	+2.07	22%▲18
27	Pierre-Luc DuboisFWSH	WSH	0.091	168	15.3	13	−2.30	41%▲32
28	Conor GeekieFTBL	TBL	0.091	85	7.7	7	−0.72	20%▲20
29	Ivan BarbashevFVGK	VGK	0.091	161	14.6	18	+3.38	67%▲26
30	Wyatt JohnstonFDAL	DAL	0.091	188	17.1	18	+0.94	100%▲0.8
31	Elmer SoderblomFDET	DET	0.090	66	5.9	4	−1.93	4.8%▲4.6
32	Joel KivirantaFCOL	COL	0.090	107	9.6	12	+2.40	0.1%
33	J.T. CompherFDET	DET	0.090	108	9.7	6	−3.68	4.0%▲3.9
34	Jake GuentzelFTBL	TBL	0.090	199	17.8	19	+1.17	100%
35	Barrett HaytonFUTA	UTA	0.090	193	17.3	11	−6.29	11%▲11
36	Brandon SaadFSTL/VGK	STL/VGK	0.089	161	14.4	13	−1.36	—
37	Jake NeighboursFSTL	STL	0.088	129	11.4	14	+2.61	30%▲26
38	Corey PerryFEDM	EDM	0.088	124	10.9	14	+3.08	7.4%▲5.9
39	Jordan EberleFSEA	SEA	0.088	82	7.2	6	−1.21	30%▲2.6
40	Tomas TatarFNJD	NJD	0.088	74	6.5	6	−0.50	—
41	Seth JarvisFCAR	CAR	0.088	195	17.1	13	−4.12	95%▲1.5
42	Gabriel VilardiFWPG	WPG	0.088	132	11.6	13	+1.43	80%▲7.7
43	Roope HintzFDAL	DAL	0.087	140	12.2	17	+4.76	85%▲7.6
44	Valeri NichushkinFCOL	COL	0.087	120	10.5	11	+0.54	60%
45	Noah CatesFPHI	PHI	0.087	133	11.6	14	+2.41	18%▲15
46	Adam HenriqueFEDM	EDM	0.087	122	10.6	9	−1.60	0.5%
47	Jake EvansFMTL	MTL	0.087	98	8.5	7	−1.51	5.7%▲5.2
48	Nicolas RoyFVGK	VGK	0.087	122	10.6	13	+2.42	4.9%▲4.7
49	Mavrik BourqueFDAL	DAL	0.087	116	10.1	9	−1.05	35%▲31
50	Nic DowdFWSH	WSH	0.087	113	9.8	10	+0.23	3.2%▲3.1
51	Mason MarchmentFDAL	DAL	0.086	150	13.0	14	+1.03	47%▲34
52	Connor DewarFTOR/PIT	TOR/PIT	0.086	68	5.9	3	−2.87	4.2%▲3.1
53	Anze KopitarFLAK	LAK	0.086	113	9.7	16	+6.29	0.5%
54	Keegan KolesarFVGK	VGK	0.086	131	11.2	11	−0.24	5.2%▲3.4
55	Tim StützleFOTT	OTT	0.086	150	12.8	14	+1.16	100%▲0.8
56	Steven StamkosFNSH	NSH	0.085	127	10.8	11	+0.15	94%▼3.7
57	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	0.085	147	12.5	8	−4.54	84%▲5.1
58	Aliaksei ProtasFWSH	WSH	0.085	177	15.1	20	+4.91	59%▲33
59	Tyson FoersterFPHI	PHI	0.085	167	14.2	16	+1.80	42%▲38
60	Dawson MercerFNJD	NJD	0.085	154	13.1	11	−2.07	25%▲19
61	Connor McMichaelFWSH	WSH	0.085	207	17.6	22	+4.45	34%▲27
62	William NylanderFTOR	TOR	0.085	238	20.2	24	+3.82	99%▼0.9
63	Jonathan HuberdeauFCGY	CGY	0.085	131	11.1	13	+1.92	17%▲12
64	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	0.085	159	13.4	19	+5.56	98%▲3
65	Eric RobinsonFCAR	CAR	0.085	162	13.7	12	−1.69	3.2%▲3.1
66	Mikko RantanenFCOL/DAL/CAR	COL/DAL/CAR	0.084	213	17.9	12	−5.92	99%▲0.7
67	Sean CouturierFPHI	PHI	0.084	167	14.0	11	−3.02	9.2%▲7.2
68	Ondrej PalatFNJD	NJD	0.083	137	11.4	11	−0.43	0.1%
69	Robert ThomasFSTL	STL	0.083	164	13.7	12	−1.67	93%▲20
70	Taylor RaddyshFWSH	WSH	0.083	124	10.3	7	−3.29	0.1%
71	Brandon HagelFTBL	TBL	0.083	243	20.1	23	+2.86	100%▲1.9
72	Ryan PoehlingFPHI	PHI	0.083	90	7.5	10	+2.54	6.7%▲5.2
73	Nils HoglanderFVAN	VAN	0.083	108	8.9	7	−1.94	4.0%▲3.9
74	Pontus HolmbergFTOR	TOR	0.083	94	7.8	2	−5.77	0.1%
75	Kirby DachFMTL	MTL	0.083	97	8.0	7	−1.01	12%▲11
76	Troy TerryFANA	ANA	0.082	178	14.7	14	−0.68	47%▲34
77	Kyle ConnorFWPG	WPG	0.082	242	19.9	26	+6.05	99%▲1
78	Phillip DanaultFLAK	LAK	0.082	154	12.7	7	−5.68	4.9%▲4.5
79	Adam GaudetteFOTT	OTT	0.082	108	8.9	16	+7.11	0.1%
80	Rasmus KupariFWPG	WPG	0.082	72	5.9	4	−1.92	—
81	Nick FolignoFCHI	CHI	0.082	102	8.4	10	+1.64	4.1%▲3.6
82	Pius SuterFVAN	VAN	0.082	136	11.1	18	+6.88	4.1%▲3.3
83	Oskar BäckFDAL	DAL	0.081	73	5.9	4	−1.94	0.1%
84	Brayden SchennFSTL	STL	0.081	144	11.7	9	−2.70	29%▲8.7
85	Jesperi KotkaniemiFCAR	CAR	0.081	140	11.4	11	−0.36	3.2%▲3.1
86	J.T. MillerFVAN/NYR	VAN/NYR	0.081	135	10.9	11	+0.07	92%▲7.9
87	Mark StoneFVGK	VGK	0.081	148	11.9	12	+0.05	93%▲9
88	Vasily PodkolzinFEDM	EDM	0.081	162	13.1	8	−5.08	64%▲55
89	Lukas ReichelFCHI	CHI	0.081	82	6.6	8	+1.39	4.8%▲4.6
90	Matt DucheneFDAL	DAL	0.081	161	13.0	19	+6.04	62%▼17
91	Logan O'ConnorFCOL	COL	0.080	118	9.5	9	−0.50	0.2%
92	Ross ColtonFCOL	COL	0.080	158	12.7	9	−3.70	8.1%▲7.8
93	Brandon DuhaimeFWSH	WSH	0.080	126	10.1	8	−2.10	3.2%▲3
94	Jake DeBruskFVAN	VAN	0.080	145	11.6	11	−0.62	49%▼20
95	Alex IafalloFWPG	WPG	0.080	114	9.1	8	−1.12	4.3%▲3
96	Jack EichelFVGK	VGK	0.080	207	16.5	20	+3.45	99%▲1.4
97	Isac LundeströmFANA	ANA	0.080	77	6.1	3	−3.15	0.0%
98	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	0.080	247	19.7	15	−4.71	99%
99	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	0.080	146	11.6	11	−0.63	20%▲13
100	Tomas HertlFVGK	VGK	0.080	176	14.0	13	−1.00	83%▲2.9

Minimum sample: 66 attempts (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 331 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Expected goals per unblocked attempt. League average is about 0.06-0.07; 0.10+ is an elite diet.

How reliable is it?

Very stable: split-half r ≈ 0.68, one of the strongest individual signals in the data.

How Shot Diet is measured →

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