Chemistry and stacks · 2025-26
Tampa Bay Lightning line chemistry and DFS stacks
Every Lightning pair with 50+ minutes together at 5v5: how their expected-goal share changes together vs apart, and how closely their DraftKings points move game to game. Check tonight's Lightning lines before you stack.
Showing the full 2025-26 season. 2026-27 pairs do not have enough games together yet; the page switches over once they do.
Best Lightning stacks
| Pair | 5v5 min | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK corr. (raw) | Stack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov + Brandon HagelF–F · PP | 513 | +5.1 | +0.42 | .55.34 to .71, 43 GP | 9.1 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Jake GuentzelF–F · PP | 352 | −2.5 | +0.02 | .31−.00 to .57, 28 GP | 8.2 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Anthony CirelliF–F | 415 | +2.5 | +0.37 | .55.32 to .72, 35 GP | 7.6 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 492 | +1.1 | +0.11 | .43.20 to .62, 43 GP | 7.5 |
| Jake Guentzel + Brandon HagelF–F · PP | 237 | +3.4 | +0.35 | −.21−.55 to .19, 19 GP | 6.7 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Gage GoncalvesF–F | 163 | +1.4 | +0.19 | .38−.08 to .70, 15 GP | 6.1 |
| Anthony Cirelli + Brandon HagelF–F | 629 | +6.8 | +0.66 | .27.05 to .46, 57 GP | 6.0 |
| Jake Guentzel + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 497 | −0.1 | −0.13 | .24−.01 to .47, 43 GP | 5.9 |
| Jake Guentzel + Anthony CirelliF–F | 250 | −0.4 | +0.02 | .21−.17 to .53, 22 GP | 5.8 |
| Jake Guentzel + Oliver BjorkstrandF–F · PP | 136 | +2.6 | +0.24 | .33−.23 to .73, 11 GP | 5.1 |
Forward pairs
| Pair | 5v5 min | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK corr. (raw) | Stack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanni Gourde + Zemgus GirgensonsF–F | 774 | +7.3 | +0.10 | .42.24 to .57, 69 GP | 2.8 |
| Yanni Gourde + Pontus HolmbergF–F | 768 | +2.1 | +0.11 | .25.05 to .43, 66 GP | 2.6 |
| Zemgus Girgensons + Pontus HolmbergF–F | 670 | +7.5 | +0.36 | .39.20 to .56, 61 GP | 2.7 |
| Anthony Cirelli + Brandon HagelF–F | 629 | +6.8 | +0.66 | .27.05 to .46, 57 GP | 6.0 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Brandon HagelF–F · PP | 513 | +5.1 | +0.42 | .55.34 to .71, 43 GP | 9.1 |
| Jake Guentzel + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 497 | −0.1 | −0.13 | .24−.01 to .47, 43 GP | 5.9 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 492 | +1.1 | +0.11 | .43.20 to .62, 43 GP | 7.5 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Anthony CirelliF–F | 415 | +2.5 | +0.37 | .55.32 to .72, 35 GP | 7.6 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Jake GuentzelF–F · PP | 352 | −2.5 | +0.02 | .31−.00 to .57, 28 GP | 8.2 |
| Brayden Point + Gage GoncalvesF–F | 284 | +0.7 | +0.16 | .44.15 to .66, 29 GP | 4.0 |
| Jake Guentzel + Gage GoncalvesF–F | 264 | −0.6 | −0.23 | −.20−.54 to .19, 20 GP | 4.5 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand + Nick PaulF–F | 263 | −0.5 | −0.37 | −.01−.33 to .31, 28 GP | 2.7 |
| Jake Guentzel + Anthony CirelliF–F | 250 | −0.4 | +0.02 | .21−.17 to .53, 22 GP | 5.8 |
| Jake Guentzel + Brandon HagelF–F · PP | 237 | +3.4 | +0.35 | −.21−.55 to .19, 19 GP | 6.7 |
| Gage Goncalves + Dominic JamesF–F | 220 | +3.6 | +0.18 | .46.09 to .71, 20 GP | 2.8 |
Defence pairs
| Pair | 5v5 min | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK corr. (raw) | Stack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh + J.J. MoserD–D | 882 | +2.0 | −0.07 | .14−.07 to .35, 60 GP | 2.0 |
| Ryan McDonagh + Erik CernakD–D | 458 | −2.4 | −0.09 | .11−.17 to .38, 37 GP | 1.2 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous + Emil LillebergD–D | 452 | +1.5 | −0.13 | .19−.10 to .45, 35 GP | 1.1 |
| Maxwell Crozier + Declan CarlileD–D | 248 | +3.1 | +0.25 | .03−.34 to .38, 22 GP | 0.8 |
| Erik Cernak + Charle-Edouard D'AstousD–D | 230 | +3.8 | −0.03 | −.26−.62 to .19, 16 GP | 1.0 |
| Victor Hedman + J.J. MoserD–D | 186 | +3.0 | +0.44 | −.42−.74 to .04, 14 GP | 1.2 |
| Darren Raddysh + Charle-Edouard D'AstousD–D | 129 | +2.3 | +0.27 | .523 GP, too few | 1.9 |
| Ryan McDonagh + Charle-Edouard D'AstousD–D | 125 | −0.3 | −0.21 | .63.07 to .89, 9 GP | 1.4 |
Forwards with defencemen
| Pair | 5v5 min | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK corr. (raw) | Stack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov + J.J. MoserF–D | 506 | −1.3 | +0.37 | .14−.09 to .35, 56 GP | 2.2 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Darren RaddyshF–D · PP | 468 | +4.1 | +0.51 | .21−.03 to .43, 48 GP | 3.0 |
| Yanni Gourde + J.J. MoserF–D | 423 | +1.6 | −0.23 | .01−.27 to .28, 37 GP | 0.9 |
| Jake Guentzel + J.J. MoserF–D | 421 | −0.6 | +0.39 | −.09−.34 to .17, 41 GP | 1.4 |
| Brandon Hagel + J.J. MoserF–D | 412 | +0.5 | +0.12 | .02−.24 to .27, 43 GP | 1.6 |
| Anthony Cirelli + J.J. MoserF–D | 392 | +1.1 | +0.10 | −.20−.44 to .08, 38 GP | 1.0 |
| Darren Raddysh + Brandon HagelF–D · PP | 374 | +3.0 | +0.38 | .24−.02 to .48, 40 GP | 2.7 |
| Jake Guentzel + Darren RaddyshF–D · PP | 366 | +2.1 | +0.29 | −.03−.31 to .26, 35 GP | 2.0 |
| Zemgus Girgensons + J.J. MoserF–D | 352 | −4.2 | −0.38 | .25−.08 to .53, 27 GP | 1.1 |
| Pontus Holmberg + J.J. MoserF–D | 347 | +1.0 | −0.27 | −.27−.52 to .04, 31 GP | 0.7 |
| Yanni Gourde + Darren RaddyshF–D | 345 | +3.0 | −0.17 | .04−.31 to .38, 24 GP | 1.5 |
| Brayden Point + J.J. MoserF–D | 343 | +0.6 | +0.31 | −.01−.28 to .27, 37 GP | 1.2 |
Power-play partners
Pairs with 30+ minutes together on the power play, most PP time first. Power-play partners share the same goals, so they are the strongest stacks when both are on PP1 tonight.
| Pair | 5v5 min | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK corr. (raw) | Stack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov + Jake GuentzelF–F · PP | 352 | −2.5 | +0.02 | .31−.00 to .57, 28 GP | 8.2 |
| Jake Guentzel + Darren RaddyshF–D · PP | 366 | +2.1 | +0.29 | −.03−.31 to .26, 35 GP | 2.0 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Darren RaddyshF–D · PP | 468 | +4.1 | +0.51 | .21−.03 to .43, 48 GP | 3.0 |
| Jake Guentzel + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 497 | −0.1 | −0.13 | .24−.01 to .47, 43 GP | 5.9 |
| Jake Guentzel + Oliver BjorkstrandF–F · PP | 136 | +2.6 | +0.24 | .33−.23 to .73, 11 GP | 5.1 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 492 | +1.1 | +0.11 | .43.20 to .62, 43 GP | 7.5 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand + Darren RaddyshF–D · PP | 183 | −3.3 | −0.15 | −.35−.96 to .86, 4 GP | 1.6 |
| Brayden Point + Darren RaddyshF–D · PP | 294 | +5.7 | +0.47 | −.06−.36 to .25, 30 GP | 1.7 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand + Brayden PointF–F · PP | 82 | −2.1 | −0.12 | .12−.78 to .86, 5 GP | 4.1 |
| Nikita Kucherov + Brandon HagelF–F · PP | 513 | +5.1 | +0.42 | .55.34 to .71, 43 GP | 9.1 |
FAQ
Which Tampa Bay Lightning players have the best chemistry?
In 2025-26, Anthony Cirelli and Brandon Hagel gained the most together: +0.66 expected goals for per 60 at 5v5 compared with apart (xG share +6.8 points), after shrinking for sample size, over 629 minutes together.
Which Tampa Bay Lightning players should I stack in DFS?
Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel have the top stack score (9.1): they combine for 30.0 DraftKings points a game over 43 games together, and like most linemates their points tend to arrive together (about .30 for this kind of pair; their raw 2025-26 value was .55).
Where are tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning lines?
Tonight's projected lines and power-play units are on the Tampa Bay Lightning line combinations page. Chemistry here is measured over the whole season, so check that the pair is still together before you stack it.