Edgehalla

Category Week Planner · 2026-27

Best blocks schedules, fantasy week 28 (Apr 5-11)

Blocked shots. The opponent factor is blocks its opponents record per game (the home scorer’s counting bias is now negligible). Teams are ranked by effective games: games this week, each weighted by how many blocks the opponent allows. WPG leads with 4.13.

Data updated:

Teams ranked for blocks

Early season: teams have played about 2 games, so the opponent factors are mostly 2025-26 numbers. This season's games count for about 20% and the share grows every week.

Teams by effective blocks games, week 28
#TeamGPEffectivePer gameOpponents (factor)
1Winnipeg Jets44.131.03@ UTA (1.07)vs EDM (1.02)vs VAN (1.01)@ EDM (1.02)
2Tampa Bay Lightning44.091.02@ BUF (0.92)@ NJD (1.16)vs MTL (1.00)vs BOS (1.00)
3Boston Bruins44.031.01@ TOR (0.91)@ BUF (0.92)@ FLA (1.12)@ TBL (1.08)
4Dallas Stars43.960.99vs SEA (0.86)@ UTA (1.07)vs UTA (1.07)@ NSH (0.95)
5Utah Mammoth43.750.94vs WPG (0.93)vs DAL (0.91)@ DAL (0.91)@ STL (1.00)
6Seattle Kraken43.650.91@ DAL (0.91)@ NSH (0.95)@ STL (1.00)@ CHI (0.80)
7Florida Panthers33.221.07vs MTL (1.00)vs BOS (1.00)vs CAR (1.22)
8Philadelphia Flyers33.221.07@ CAR (1.22)@ CBJ (1.01)vs WSH (0.99)
9Ottawa Senators33.211.07@ CAR (1.22)vs WSH (0.99)vs MTL (1.00)
10Vancouver Canucks33.191.06vs COL (1.12)@ WPG (0.93)@ CGY (1.13)
11Pittsburgh Penguins33.171.06@ NYR (1.02)@ DET (0.98)@ NJD (1.16)
12Calgary Flames33.161.05@ EDM (1.02)vs COL (1.12)vs VAN (1.01)
13New York Islanders33.151.05vs DET (0.98)@ NJD (1.16)vs CBJ (1.01)
14Montreal Canadiens33.151.05@ FLA (1.12)@ TBL (1.08)@ OTT (0.95)
15Vegas Golden Knights33.131.04vs STL (1.00)@ LAK (1.07)vs LAK (1.07)
16Colorado Avalanche33.101.03@ VAN (1.01)@ CGY (1.13)vs MIN (0.95)
17Los Angeles Kings33.061.02@ ANA (1.05)vs VGK (1.01)@ VGK (1.01)
18Buffalo Sabres33.061.02vs TBL (1.08)vs BOS (1.00)vs DET (0.98)
19Edmonton Oilers32.991.00vs CGY (1.13)@ WPG (0.93)vs WPG (0.93)
20New Jersey Devils32.991.00vs TBL (1.08)vs NYI (0.98)vs PIT (0.93)
21Carolina Hurricanes32.950.98vs PHI (0.88)vs OTT (0.95)@ FLA (1.12)
22St. Louis Blues32.940.98@ VGK (1.01)vs SEA (0.86)vs UTA (1.07)
23Minnesota Wild32.870.96vs CHI (0.80)@ SJS (0.95)@ COL (1.12)
24Columbus Blue Jackets32.850.95vs WSH (0.99)vs PHI (0.88)@ NYI (0.98)
25Washington Capitals32.840.95@ CBJ (1.01)@ OTT (0.95)@ PHI (0.88)
26Detroit Red Wings32.830.94@ NYI (0.98)vs PIT (0.93)@ BUF (0.92)
27Chicago Blackhawks32.770.92@ MIN (0.95)vs NSH (0.95)vs SEA (0.86)
28Nashville Predators32.570.86vs SEA (0.86)@ CHI (0.80)vs DAL (0.91)
29Toronto Maple Leafs22.021.01vs BOS (1.00)@ NYR (1.02)
30Anaheim Ducks22.021.01vs LAK (1.07)@ SJS (0.95)
31San Jose Sharks22.001.00vs MIN (0.95)vs ANA (1.05)
32New York Rangers21.830.92vs PIT (0.93)vs TOR (0.91)

Projected blocks leaders, week 28

Projected totals for the week. Off-night games in green.

Players by projected blocks, week 28
#PlayerGPBLK
1Esa LindellDAL · D438.2
2MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D437.8
3Mario FerraroWPG · D437.6
4Charlie McAvoyBOS · D437.5
5Thomas HarleyDAL · D437.2
6Brayden McNabbVGK · D317.1
7Adam LarssonSEA · D427.0
8Andrew PeekeUTA · D436.9
9Dylan SambergWPG · D436.8
10Alexander RomanovNYI · D316.8
11Noah DobsonMTL · D316.8
12Nick SeelerPHI · D326.7
13Miro HeiskanenDAL · D436.6
14Ryan McDonaghTBL · D426.5
15Zach WhitecloudCGY · D326.4
16Victor HedmanTBL · D426.4
17Colton ParaykoSTL · D316.3
18Alexandre CarrierMTL · D316.3
19Moritz SeiderDET · D316.2
20Brandt ClarkeLAK · D316.1
21Travis SanheimPHI · D326.1
22Cameron YorkPHI · D326.1
23Mike MathesonMTL · D316.1
24John CarlsonTBL · D426.0
25Mikhail SergachevUTA · D436.0
26Kaiden GuhleMTL · D316.0
27Neal PionkWPG · D435.9
28Jake SandersonOTT · D325.9
29Erik CernakTBL · D425.9
30Josh MorrisseyWPG · D435.9
31Martin FehervaryWSH · D315.9
32Ryan PulockNYI · D315.8
33Jonas BrodinMIN · D315.7
34Jacob MiddletonCGY · D325.7
35Connor MurphyEDM · D325.7
36Connor CliftonBOS · D435.7
37Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D315.7
38Hampus LindholmBOS · D435.7
39Thomas ChabotOTT · D325.6
40Mattias SamuelssonBUF · D325.6

Matchup models plugged in

  • Banger Environment Index: hits and blocksHIT, BLKComing soon

Until a model is live, its categories use the team opponent factors above (or volume only where those did not validate).

How it works

  1. Volume first. We count each team's games in the Monday-to-Sunday fantasy week and flag off-nights (fewer than 10 games) and back-to-backs. See games per week for the whole season.
  2. Opponents second, only where it helps. For each category we measure what every team allows per game (shots on goal against, hits and blocks its opponents record, faceoffs its opponents win, goals against). A factor of 1.10 means 10% more than the league average. We then tested out of sample whether these factors improve weekly forecasts over games times each team's own rate. They did, by a small margin, for shots on goal, hits, blocks, faceoffs won and goalie saves (where the factor is the opponent's own shots), so only those use them. Goals, assists, points, penalty minutes and goals against are volume only. The table below has the numbers.
  3. Each factor is shrunk toward average by how reliable that category is at the team level. We split last season's games into odd and even halves: when the halves agree (high split-half r), team differences are real and the factor is kept; when they do not, it is pulled toward 1. Early in the season this year's small sample is blended with last season, regressed by how well team factors carried over from one season to the next.
  4. Player rates come from rest-of-season projections: LineupExperts for goals, assists, points, PIM, shots, hits, blocks and goalie wins, saves and goals against, with our derived projection model filling power-play points, shorthanded points, plus/minus and faceoffs. Anything still missing (and shutouts) comes from our box scores, this season plus last season at half weight.
  5. Goalies: expected starts come from our goalie start model where it covers the week, otherwise from each goalie's share of projected starts, normalised so a team's goalies add up to one start per game. Wins get the Schedule Edge win-probability change for each game.
  6. The rater turns weekly totals into z-scores within the top 300 skaters and 64 goalies, then sums them with your weights. Punted categories count for nothing. SV% and GAA are scored by impact, so one start cannot top them.
For blocks, last season's split-half r was 0.85 and the year-over-year r 0.73; factors are shrunk accordingly.

Frequently asked questions

Which teams have the best blocks schedule in week 28?

WPG (4 games, 4.13 effective), TBL (4 games, 4.09 effective), BOS (4 games, 4.03 effective), DAL (4 games, 3.96 effective), UTA (4 games, 3.75 effective).

Which teams have the worst blocks schedule?

NYR (2 games), SJS (2 games), ANA (2 games), TOR (2 games), NSH (3 games).

How reliable is the opponent effect for blocks?

Last season the opponent measure (how many blocks the opponent allows) had a split-half correlation of 0.85 across the 32 teams and a year-over-year correlation of 0.73. We shrink each team's factor by that reliability. Out of sample it trims weekly forecast error by only a couple of percent, so games played matter far more.

Should I stream for one category?

In head-to-head category leagues, streaming for a close category late in the week often wins it. Volume matters most: an extra game usually beats a better opponent. Use the full week planner to see every category at once and punt the ones you cannot win.