Who to start · 2025-26
Elvis Merzlikins vs Frederik Andersen
In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Frederik Andersen's .874.
Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Andersen −1.2.
This week Merzlikins has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts); Andersen has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Andersen for 0.1 ESPN points to Merzlikins's 0.0.
Frederik Andersen has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Merzlikins's biggest edges: High-danger save % .831, Shutouts 1, Save % .883.
Andersen's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected −1.2, Goals-against average 3.05, Overtime losses 5.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Elvis Merzlikins
0.51
fantasy points per game
Frederik Andersen
0.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Elvis Merzlikins has the edge.
| Points per game from | Merzlikins | Andersen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.33 | -6.11 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.78 | 4.24 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Merzlikins vs Andersen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Merzlikins | Andersen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | CBJ 1–5 CAR | 16/21 SV | 9/10 SV |
| 2026-03-31 | CBJ 2–5 CAR | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2026-03-17 | CBJ 5–1 CAR | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-12-09 | CBJ 1–4 CAR | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-01-23 | CBJ 4–7 CAR | 0/0 SV | 18/22 SV |
| 2022-02-25 | CBJ 0–4 CAR | 0/0 SV | 19/19 SV |
| 2022-01-13 | CBJ 6–0 CAR | 31/31 SV | 28/32 SV |
| 2022-01-01 | CBJ 4–7 CAR | 11/15 SV | 8/9 SV |
| 2021-10-23 | CBJ 1–5 CAR | 0/0 SV | 27/28 SV |
| 2019-10-21 | CBJ 4–3 TOR | 0/0 SV | 34/38 SV |
| 2019-10-04 | CBJ 1–4 TOR | 0/0 SV | 28/29 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Elvis Merzlikins
3games (1 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.0 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT4% to start0.0 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Frederik Andersen
3games (1 left)
0.1proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA8% to start0.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Elvis Merzlikins or Frederik Andersen?
- In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Frederik Andersen's .874. Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Andersen −1.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Elvis Merzlikins or Frederik Andersen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Frederik Andersen leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Merzlikins and Andersen done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Merzlikins's team went 3–8.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →