Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Columbus Blue JacketsOct 4, 2019

FinalFriday, Oct 4, 2019· Nationwide Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	10	9	10	29
CBJ	0	1	0	1		CBJ	9	11	9	29

: TOR 53CBJ 50
: TOR 2.19CBJ 2.18
PP goals: TOR 2CBJ 1
Hits: TOR 18CBJ 20
Blocks: TOR 13CBJ 17
PIM: TOR 12CBJ 12
: TOR 59%CBJ 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Columbus Blue Jackets 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Columbus Blue Jackets 4–1 at CBJ. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:39 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:33.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 23:12.Rielly
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:43.Tavares
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:39 together.Tavares Rielly Johnsson Marner Matthews
Usage
Justin Holl (TOR) played 9:07, −9:32 down on his 18:39 season average over 67 games.Holl
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Petan–Gauthier skated 5:01 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Petan Gauthier
Usage
Cody Ceci (TOR) played 24:44, +4:16 up on his 20:28 season average over 55 games.Ceci
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 2.19 expected goals (53 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CBJ attacks right (top on phones) →

CBJ
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · CBJ 50 · TOR 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CBJ
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CBJ pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 30% of the game, CBJ 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CBJ

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CBJ
	48	49
	1.48	2.17
	1.47	2.11
	5	7
	1	2
	23	13
	+0.030	−0.030
	30%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kapanen – Marner
9:0363% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
8:1359% CF
L3Kerfoot – Moore – Mikheyev
8:0529% CF
L4Spezza – Petan – Gauthier
5:01100% CF
D1Muzzin – Barrie
11:3150% CF
D2Rielly – Ceci
11:1465% CF
D3Holl – Sandin
4:1120% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:39100% CF
PP2Spezza – Barrie – Kerfoot – Nylander – Kapanen
2:24
PK1FKapanen – Moore
1:17
PK2FMarner – Mikheyev
0:55
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
3:09
PK2DHoll – Rielly
2:54

Current TOR line combinations →

Columbus Blue Jackets

L1Foligno – Jenner – Anderson
9:1543% CF
L2Atkinson – Dubois – Texier
6:0750% CF
L3Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg
5:3363% CF
L4Nash – Bemstrom – Lilja
3:5433% CF
D1Savard – Werenski
13:2558% CF
D2Murray – Jones
13:0250% CF
D3Harrington – Nutivaara
12:2335% CF

PP1Foligno – Atkinson – Anderson – Jones – Bemstrom
3:08100% CF
PP2Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg – Werenski – Texier
2:39100% CF
PK1FJenner – Anderson
1:23
PK2FAtkinson – Wennberg
1:22
PK1DMurray – Jones
3:17
PK2DSavard – Werenski
1:55

Current CBJ line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:04
TORMitch MarnerPP (John Tavares, Morgan Rielly)snap0.06 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, MatthewsCBJ: Jenner, Murray, Anderson, Jones
TOR 1 – 0 CBJ

2nd period

10:35
TORCody Ceci (Morgan Rielly, William Nylander)snap0.06 xG
TOR: Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, MatthewsCBJ: Foligno, Jenner, Harrington, Anderson, Nutivaara
TOR 2 – 0 CBJ
14:11
CBJCam AtkinsonPPwrist0.10 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Ceci, MikheyevCBJ: Foligno, Atkinson, Jones, Dubois, Bemstrom
TOR 2 – 1 CBJ

3rd period

2:16
TORMitch Marner (John Tavares, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, MarnerCBJ: Nyquist, Savard, Wennberg, Werenski
TOR 3 – 1 CBJ
14:04
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Morgan Rielly, Mitch Marner)wrist0.09 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, MatthewsCBJ: Foligno, Nash, Murray, Jones
TOR 4 – 1 CBJ

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	1	3	+1	4	0.36	0	2	0	19:33	—	—	64	39
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	1	0	18:21	—	—	52	25
John Tavares C	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	17:43	—	—	46	25
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.36	0	3	0	17:27	—	—	64	68
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	56	52
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	1	1	6	13:21	—	—	42	38
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	17:02	—	—	24	5
Trevor Moore L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	0	15:04	—	—	24	6
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:47	—	—	33	20
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	10:54	—	—	57	60
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	10:36	—	—	88	65
Nic Petan C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	6:54	—	—	82	75
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	2	1	0	22:47	—	—	42	34
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	2	21:15	—	—	57	46
Cody Ceci D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	1	0	0	24:44	—	—	52	48
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	3	3	+1	2	0.31	2	2	2	23:12	—	—	61	60
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:48	—	—	40	31
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:07	—	—	40	7

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.18	60:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

CBJ skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Foligno L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	1	0	17:05	—	—	42	60
Josh Anderson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.44	2	2	2	16:54	—	—	43	66
Boone Jenner C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.52	4	1	2	13:54	—	—	45	73
Cam Atkinson R	L2	1	0	1	0	7	0.45	1	1	0	19:38	—	—	57	60
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:05	—	—	60	55
Alexandre Texier L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	2	1	2	16:52	—	—	52	60
Alexander Wennberg C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	0	0	16:55	—	—	55	42
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	48	37
Gustav Nyquist R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	67	77
Riley Nash C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:11	—	—	60	88
Emil Bemstrom C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:10	—	—	56	89
Jakob Lilja L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	1	0	7:58	—	—	39	39
Zach Werenski D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	2	0	21:33	—	—	59	73
David Savard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	2	20:04	—	—	59	71
Seth Jones D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	1	1	0	24:03	—	—	46	61
Ryan Murray D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	22:35	—	—	56	62
Markus Nutivaara D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	2	13:23	—	—	38	32
Scott Harrington D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	2	12:54	—	—	38	46

CBJ goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joonas Korpisalo(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	2.19	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.