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Who to start · 2025-26

Elvis Merzlikins vs Kevin Lankinen

In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Kevin Lankinen's .875.

Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Lankinen −18.2.

This week Merzlikins has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts); Lankinen has 2 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Lankinen for 0.5 ESPN points to Merzlikins's 0.0.

Elvis Merzlikins has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Merzlikins's biggest edges: High-danger save % .831, Goals against 95, Shutouts 1.

Lankinen's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 −0.25, Saves 1,125, Overtime losses 5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 W, .789 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elvis Merzlikins

0.51

fantasy points per game

Kevin Lankinen

-0.98

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elvis Merzlikins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMerzlikinsLankinen
Wins (+4)1.870.94
Goals against (-2)-6.33-6.81
Saves (+0.2)4.784.79
Shutouts (+3)0.100.00
OT losses (+1)0.100.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Merzlikins vs Lankinen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MerzlikinsLankinen
5Team record in 13 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Elvis Merzlikins and Kevin Lankinen
DateScoreMerzlikinsLankinen
2026-01-15CBJ 4–1 VAN30/31 SV32/36 SV
2025-11-08CBJ 3–4 VAN20/24 SV29/32 SV
2025-03-28CBJ 7–6 VAN31/37 SV32/38 SV
2024-12-06CBJ 2–5 VAN12/16 SV30/32 SV
2024-03-09CBJ 1–2 NSH0/0 SV33/34 SV
2023-01-17CBJ 1–2 NSH0/0 SV39/40 SV
2022-10-20CBJ 5–3 NSH23/26 SV37/41 SV
2021-04-12CBJ 3–4 CHI0/0 SV30/33 SV
2021-04-10CBJ 3–4 CHI24/28 SV23/26 SV
2021-02-13CBJ 2–3 CHI0/0 SV29/31 SV
2021-02-11CBJ 6–5 CHI0/0 SV37/43 SV
2021-01-31CBJ 1–3 CHI33/36 SV32/33 SV

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MerzlikinsLankinen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elvis Merzlikins

3games (1 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT4% to start0.0 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Kevin Lankinen

4games (2 left)

0.5proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY18% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B79% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Elvis Merzlikins or Kevin Lankinen?
In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Kevin Lankinen's .875. Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Lankinen −18.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Elvis Merzlikins or Kevin Lankinen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Elvis Merzlikins leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Merzlikins and Lankinen done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Merzlikins's team went 5–8.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →