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Who to start · 2025-26

Elvis Merzlikins vs Sergei Bobrovsky

In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877.

Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3.

This week Merzlikins has 1 game left; Bobrovsky has 1 left.

Sergei Bobrovsky has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Merzlikins's biggest edges: High-danger save % .831, Goals against 95, Overtime losses 3.

Bobrovsky's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Wins 27, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.49.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elvis Merzlikins

0.51

fantasy points per game

Sergei Bobrovsky

0.62

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sergei Bobrovsky has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMerzlikinsBobrovsky
Wins (+4)1.872.08
Goals against (-2)-6.33-5.92
Saves (+0.2)4.784.22
Shutouts (+3)0.100.23
OT losses (+1)0.100.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Merzlikins vs Bobrovsky

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MerzlikinsBobrovsky
4Team record in 20 meetings16

Sergei Bobrovsky shooting on Elvis Merzlikins

Goals
0
Shots on goal
1
Expected goals
0.00
Merzlikins SV%
1.000

1 unblocked attempts. Close to expected.

Games against each other

Games between Elvis Merzlikins and Sergei Bobrovsky
DateScoreMerzlikinsBobrovsky
2026-03-12CBJ 1–2 FLA19/21 SV30/31 SV
2026-03-05CBJ 4–2 FLA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-12-06CBJ 6–7 FLA33/40 SV25/31 SV
2025-03-20CBJ 0–1 FLA28/29 SV25/25 SV
2025-03-06CBJ 0–3 FLA33/35 SV16/16 SV
2024-10-15CBJ 3–4 FLA18/22 SV0/0 SV
2023-11-06CBJ 4–5 FLA7/10 SV19/23 SV
2022-12-13CBJ 0–4 FLA22/25 SV22/22 SV
2022-01-31CBJ 4–8 FLA18/25 SV32/36 SV
2022-01-15CBJ 2–9 FLA11/15 SV28/30 SV
2021-04-19CBJ 2–4 FLA35/38 SV34/36 SV
2021-04-04CBJ 0–3 FLA0/0 SV0/0 SV

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MerzlikinsBobrovsky

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elvis Merzlikins

3games (1 left)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT

Sergei Bobrovsky

3games (1 left)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT

FAQ

Should I start Elvis Merzlikins or Sergei Bobrovsky?
In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877. Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Elvis Merzlikins or Sergei Bobrovsky?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sergei Bobrovsky leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Merzlikins and Bobrovsky done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Merzlikins's team went 4–16.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →