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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Gustavsson vs Ilya Sorokin

In 2025-26, Filip Gustavsson posted a .904 save percentage to Ilya Sorokin's .906.

Against our expected-goals model, Gustavsson saved +4.1 goals and Sorokin +24.4.

This week Gustavsson has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts); Sorokin has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Sorokin for 2.2 ESPN points to Gustavsson's 0.0.

Ilya Sorokin has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Gustavsson's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.27, Overtime losses 6, Goals against 133.

Sorokin's biggest edges: High-danger save % .864, Goals saved above expected +24.4, Games started 54.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .923 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Gustavsson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Ilya Sorokin

2.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ilya Sorokin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGustavssonSorokin
Wins (+4)2.242.11
Goals against (-2)-5.32-5.24
Saves (+0.2)4.985.04
Shutouts (+3)0.240.38
OT losses (+1)0.120.04

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Gustavsson vs Sorokin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GustavssonSorokin
6Team record in 10 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Filip Gustavsson and Ilya Sorokin
DateScoreGustavssonSorokin
2026-01-10MIN 3–4 NYI23/27 SV33/36 SV
2025-11-07MIN 5–2 NYI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-04-04MIN 1–3 NYI24/27 SV27/28 SV
2025-02-08MIN 6–3 NYI32/35 SV27/32 SV
2024-01-15MIN 5–0 NYI0/0 SV29/32 SV
2023-11-07MIN 4–2 NYI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-02-28MIN 2–1 NYI39/40 SV30/31 SV
2023-01-12MIN 3–1 NYI19/20 SV33/35 SV
2022-03-22OTT 0–3 NYI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2021-12-07OTT 3–5 NYI22/27 SV30/33 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GustavssonSorokin

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Gustavsson

2games (1 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS2% to start0.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Ilya Sorokin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD97% to start2.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Gustavsson or Ilya Sorokin?
In 2025-26, Filip Gustavsson posted a .904 save percentage to Ilya Sorokin's .906. Against our expected-goals model, Gustavsson saved +4.1 goals and Sorokin +24.4. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Filip Gustavsson or Ilya Sorokin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ilya Sorokin leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Gustavsson and Sorokin done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Gustavsson's team went 6–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →