Ottawa Senators vs. New York IslandersMar 22, 2022

FinalTuesday, Mar 22, 2022· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	13	5	6	24
NYI	0	0	3	3		NYI	8	7	12	27

: OTT 43NYI 52
: OTT 1.66NYI 2.64
PP goals: OTT 0NYI 0
Hits: OTT 22NYI 34
Blocks: OTT 17NYI 14
PIM: OTT 4NYI 4
: OTT 35%NYI 65%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders beat Ottawa Senators 3–0

New York Islanders beat Ottawa Senators 3–0 at home. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for NYI: Martin–Cizikas–Johnston skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock Nelson had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 16:59.Nelson
Points
Anders Lee had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:03.Lee
Points
Scott Mayfield had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:25.Mayfield
New line
New look for NYI: Martin–Cizikas–Johnston skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martin Cizikas Johnston
New line
New look for OTT: Ennis–Watson–Gambrell skated 7:31 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (18.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ennis Watson Gambrell
New line
New look for OTT: Tierney–Joseph–Gaudette skated 8:54 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (35% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tierney Joseph Gaudette
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 1.66 expected goals (43 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Zach Parise (NYI) played 18:35, +3:21 up on his 15:14 season average over 81 games.Parise

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 95 of 95 attempts · NYI 52 · OTT 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 33% of the game, NYI 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	NYI
	46	55
	1.74	1.84
	1.71	1.80
	11	13
	1	4
	20	19
	−0.094	+0.094
	33%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Brown – Formenton – Stützle
11:2880% CF
L2White – Norris – Tkachuk
9:3758% CF
L3Tierney – Joseph – Gaudette
8:5435% CF
L4Ennis – Watson – Gambrell
7:3119% CF
D1Holden – Zaitsev
15:5045% CF
D2Brannstrom – Zub
15:2236% CF
D3Del Zotto – Mete
14:1161% CF

PP1White – Norris – Brannstrom – Tkachuk – Stützle
2:02100% CF
PP2Del Zotto – Tierney – Brown – Joseph – Formenton
1:28
PK1FWatson – Gambrell
1:03
PK2FBrown – Norris
0:46
PK1DMete – Zub
1:15
PK2DHolden – Zaitsev
1:03

Current OTT line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Bailey – Palmieri – Pageau
11:3833% CF
L2Parise – Barzal – Wahlstrom
10:5755% CF
L3Lee – Nelson – Beauvillier
10:1565% CF
L4Martin – Cizikas – Johnston
7:0854% CF
D1Chara – Dobson
12:2846% CF
D2Greene – Mayfield
10:1375% CF
D3Pelech – Pulock
10:0159% CF

PP1Parise – Bailey – Palmieri – Pulock – Beauvillier
1:46100% CF
PP2Lee – Nelson – Pageau – Barzal – Dobson
1:46100% CF
PK1FParise – Pageau
1:03
PK2FBailey – Nelson
0:59
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
2:06
PK2DChara – Greene
1:22

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

9:49
NYIScott Mayfield (Brock Nelson, Anders Lee)wrist0.02 xG
OTT: Holden, Ennis, Watson, Gambrell, BrannstromNYI: Greene, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier
OTT 0 – 1 NYI
17:25
NYIAnders Lee (Casey Cizikas, Brock Nelson)wrist0.08 xG
OTT: Del Zotto, Tierney, Joseph, Gaudette, MeteNYI: Chara, Cizikas, Lee, Nelson, Dobson
OTT 0 – 2 NYI
19:14
NYIZach PariseEN (Brock Nelson, Scott Mayfield)wrist0.62 xG
OTT: White, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle, ZubNYI: Parise, Cizikas, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech
OTT 0 – 3 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	0	3	0.19	0	1	0	19:27	—	—	79	91
Tim Stützle C	L1	-1	2	0.22	1	1	0	18:24	—	—	63	57
Alex Formenton L	L1	0	2	0.17	1	1	0	17:14	—	—	83	97
Josh Norris C	L2	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	19:11	—	—	55	70
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	-1	2	0.09	1	0	2	17:43	—	—	42	51
Colin White C	L2	-1	3	0.29	1	0	0	16:43	—	—	61	59
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	-1	1	0.15	1	1	0	15:31	—	—	41	39
Chris Tierney C	L3	-1	2	0.18	0	1	0	12:02	—	—	41	41
Adam Gaudette R	L3	-1	2	0.24	2	0	0	11:49	—	—	32	34
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	11:49	—	—	14	8
Tyler Ennis R	L4	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:55	—	—	22	9
Austin Watson L	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:17	—	—	21	10
Nick Holden D	D1	-1	0	0.00	2	2	2	19:49	—	—	36	36
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	3	0.06	4	0	0	18:40	—	—	46	54
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	-2	1	0.02	3	1	0	22:57	—	—	30	33
Artem Zub D	D2	-1	1	0.02	2	1	0	20:00	—	—	33	49
Michael Del Zotto D	D3	-1	2	0.03	0	0	0	17:55	—	—	65	68
Victor Mete D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:23	—	—	57	48

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	26	24	2	.923	2.02	58:11

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	2	0	0	17:49	—	—	48	56
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	4	0	0	17:01	—	—	42	64
Josh Bailey R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	16:51	—	—	41	44
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.89	2	1	0	18:35	—	—	58	48
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	17:19	—	—	52	46
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	3	1	0	13:54	—	—	54	46
Brock Nelson C	L3	0	3	3	+3	1	0.14	1	1	0	16:59	—	—	67	67
Anthony Beauvillier R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	62	43
Anders Lee L	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.18	1	0	0	16:03	—	—	58	62
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	2	10:53	—	—	58	52
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	6	0	0	10:02	—	—	65	56
Ross Johnston L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	8:30	—	—	57	40
Zdeno Chara D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	2	0	20:38	—	—	45	46
Noah Dobson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	0	2	18:28	—	—	48	49
Andy Greene D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	2	0	19:31	—	—	67	67
Scott Mayfield D	D2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.06	2	5	0	19:25	—	—	58	57
Adam Pelech D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	4	0	0	20:24	—	—	50	42
Ryan Pulock D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.25	0	1	0	17:48	—	—	60	58

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	24	24	0	.1000	1.66	59:38

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.