New York Islanders vs. Minnesota WildFeb 28, 2023

Final / SOTuesday, Feb 28, 2023· Xcel Energy Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NYI	1	0	0	0	0	1		NYI	15	6	14	5	40
MIN	1	0	0	0	1	2		MIN	15	8	6	2	31

: NYI 63MIN 56
: NYI 3.50MIN 2.37
PP goals: NYI 0MIN 0
Hits: NYI 27MIN 26
Blocks: NYI 16MIN 13
PIM: NYI 7MIN 5
: NYI 60%MIN 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge New York Islanders 2–1 (SO)

Minnesota Wild beat New York Islanders 2–1 in a shootout at home. Josh Bailey (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Filip Gustavsson (MIN) faced 40 shots and stopped 39 (.975), +10 against a season average of 30.1; the win.

Goalie
Filip Gustavsson (MIN) faced 40 shots and stopped 39 (.975), +10 against a season average of 30.1; the win.Gustavsson
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 3.50 expected goals (63 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Matt Martin (NYI) played 18:24, +7:21 up on his 11:03 season average over 80 games.Martin
Usage
Scott Mayfield (NYI) played 25:02, +4:03 up on his 20:59 season average over 81 games.Mayfield
Usage
Ross Johnston (NYI) played 3:04, −5:03 down on his 8:07 season average over 15 games.Johnston
Usage
Ryan Hartman (MIN) played 21:07, +4:54 up on his 16:13 season average over 58 games.Hartman
Usage
Casey Cizikas (NYI) played 18:49, +4:20 up on his 14:29 season average over 80 games.Cizikas
Usage
Alex Goligoski (MIN) played 21:38, +4:03 up on his 17:35 season average over 45 games.Goligoski

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · MIN 56 · NYI 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 40% of the game, MIN 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	MIN
	66	55
	3.37	2.43
	3.02	2.31
	16	11
	5	1
	7	12
	+0.066	−0.066
	40%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Parise – Palmieri – Nelson
11:4954% CF
L2Martin – Cizikas – Fasching
10:2845% CF
L3Lee – Horvat – Holmstrom
8:3782% CF
D1Mayfield – Pelech
18:0354% CF
D2Pulock – Romanov
17:3658% CF
D3Aho – Dobson
11:2452% CF

PK1FMartin – Horvat
1:04
PK2FBailey – Cizikas
0:56
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
1:32
PK2DPulock – Romanov
0:28

Current NYI line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
16:5946% CF
L2Foligno – Eriksson Ek – Boldy
13:1546% CF
L3Gaudreau – Greenway – Duhaime
9:5745% CF
L4Reaves – Shaw – Dewar
5:3558% CF
D1Goligoski – Dumba
18:3142% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
18:0262% CF
D3Merrill – Addison
13:3335% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Addison – Boldy
1:37100% CF
PP2Goligoski – Spurgeon – Foligno – Hartman – Gaudreau
0:230% CF

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:15
NYIJosh Bailey (Scott Mayfield, Otto Koivula)wrist0.15 xG
NYI: Bailey, Mayfield, Johnston, Koivula, RomanovMIN: Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Addison
NYI 1 – 0 MIN
18:00
MINRyan Reaves (Jordan Greenway)other0.01 xG
NYI: Martin, Cizikas, Fasching, Aho, DobsonMIN: Reaves, Merrill, Greenway, Addison, Dewar
NYI 1 – 1 MIN

Decided in the shootout: NYI 1 – 2 MIN.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	1	0	20:26	—	—	49	34
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	0	0	19:55	—	—	53	54
Zach Parise L	L1	0	0	0	0	8	0.98	2	1	2	17:45	—	—	55	56
Casey Cizikas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.45	4	1	0	18:49	—	—	47	60
Matt Martin L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	18:24	—	—	37	27
Hudson Fasching R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	0	0	15:48	—	—	53	84
Bo Horvat C	L3	0	0	0	0	7	0.51	0	2	0	23:51	—	—	63	67
Anders Lee L	L3	0	0	0	0	6	0.44	2	0	0	19:57	—	—	62	68
Simon Holmstrom R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	11:31	—	—	83	96
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	25:02	—	—	53	75
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	2	0	24:55	—	—	57	83
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	3	2	0	22:39	—	—	52	60
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	1	0	20:24	—	—	56	58
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.18	1	2	0	17:55	—	—	57	40
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	52	36
Josh Bailey R	—	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	0	0	0	12:21	—	—	39	38
Otto Koivula L	—	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:53	—	—	46	35
Ross Johnston L	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	5	3:04	—	—	50	99

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	O	31	30	1	.968	2.37	65:00

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.24	2	0	0	24:21	—	—	39	24
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	2	0	0	23:14	—	—	43	25
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	21:07	—	—	39	29
Matt Boldy L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	22:10	—	—	37	38
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	2	1	0	20:03	—	—	44	32
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	15:50	—	—	41	40
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	2	0	15:46	—	—	40	63
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.29	3	0	0	13:21	—	—	50	65
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.23	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	48	65
Mason Shaw C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	0	0	9:06	—	—	60	52
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	8:28	—	—	69	59
Ryan Reaves R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.36	3	0	5	6:46	—	—	67	58
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	23:06	—	—	41	25
Alex Goligoski D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	3	0	21:38	—	—	43	34
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	2	0	22:46	—	—	55	61
Jake Middleton D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	1	0	0	22:23	—	—	60	62
Calen Addison D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	17:51	—	—	38	40
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:43	—	—	31	21

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Filip Gustavsson(start)	W	40	39	1	.975	3.50	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.