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Who to start · 2025-26

Jordan Binnington vs Linus Ullmark

In 2025-26, Jordan Binnington posted a .873 save percentage to Linus Ullmark's .891.

Against our expected-goals model, Binnington saved −25.5 goals and Ullmark −7.5.

This week Binnington has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Ullmark has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts). We project Ullmark for 2.2 ESPN points to Binnington's 0.9.

Linus Ullmark has the better number in 10 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Binnington's biggest edges: Goals against 128.

Ullmark's biggest edges: Goals-against average 2.73, Wins 28, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.28.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jordan Binnington

-0.43

fantasy points per game

Linus Ullmark

1.64

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Linus Ullmark has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBinningtonUllmark
Wins (+4)1.272.29
Goals against (-2)-6.24-5.35
Saves (+0.2)4.304.36
Shutouts (+3)0.070.18
OT losses (+1)0.170.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Binnington vs Ullmark

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BinningtonUllmark
6Team record in 11 meetings5

Games against each other

Games between Jordan Binnington and Linus Ullmark
DateScoreBinningtonUllmark
2025-12-06STL 2–1 OTT0/0 SV18/20 SV
2025-11-28STL 4–3 OTT25/28 SV0/0 SV
2024-10-29STL 1–8 OTT11/14 SV26/27 SV
2024-03-11STL 5–1 BOS0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-04-02STL 3–4 BOS28/31 SV35/38 SV
2022-11-07STL 1–3 BOS34/37 SV26/27 SV
2022-04-12STL 4–2 BOS0/0 SV0/0 SV
2020-01-09STL 5–1 BUF18/19 SV26/30 SV
2019-12-10STL 2–5 BUF0/0 SV28/30 SV
2019-03-17STL 3–4 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV
2018-12-27STL 4–1 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BinningtonUllmark

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jordan Binnington

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B97% to start0.9 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Linus Ullmark

1games

2.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR97% to start2.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

FAQ

Should I start Jordan Binnington or Linus Ullmark?
In 2025-26, Jordan Binnington posted a .873 save percentage to Linus Ullmark's .891. Against our expected-goals model, Binnington saved −25.5 goals and Ullmark −7.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jordan Binnington or Linus Ullmark?
On 2025-26 numbers, Linus Ullmark leads in 10 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Binnington and Ullmark done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Binnington's team went 6–5.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →