St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresMar 17, 2019

Final / SOSunday, Mar 17, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
STL	1	1	1	0	0	3		STL	9	11	7	6	33
BUF	2	1	0	0	1	4		BUF	10	11	12	1	34

: STL 48BUF 59
: STL 3.05BUF 3.49
PP goals: STL 0BUF 0
Hits: STL 27BUF 26
Blocks: STL 5BUF 9
PIM: STL 6BUF 6
: STL 60%BUF 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge St. Louis Blues 4–3 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat St. Louis Blues 4–3 in a shootout at home. Alex Nylander (BUF) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Michael Del Zotto (STL) played 11:17, −5:53 down on his 17:10 season average over 41 games.

Points
Alex Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:40.Nylander
Usage
Michael Del Zotto (STL) played 11:17, −5:53 down on his 17:10 season average over 41 games.Del Zotto
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Thompson–Mittelstadt skated 8:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Thompson Mittelstadt
Usage
Vince Dunn (STL) played 23:50, +6:24 up on his 17:26 season average over 77 games.Dunn
Usage
Robert Thomas (STL) played 17:01, +4:00 up on his 13:01 season average over 69 games.Thomas
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 22:42, +3:47 up on his 18:55 season average over 81 games.Reinhart
Usage
Zachary Sanford (STL) played 8:31, −4:08 down on his 12:39 season average over 59 games.Sanford
Usage
Jay Bouwmeester (STL) played 24:05, +3:24 up on his 20:41 season average over 77 games.Bouwmeester

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · BUF 59 · STL 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 31% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	BUF
	42	60
	1.59	2.65
	1.56	2.57
	6	6
	7	4
	24	18
	+0.038	−0.038
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Perron – O'Reilly – Schenn
13:0038% CF
L2Maroon – Bozak – Thomas
12:1656% CF
L3Steen – Schwartz – Sundqvist
9:5123% CF
L4MacEachern – Sanford – Barbashev
4:5525% CF
D1Pietrangelo – Dunn
17:2543% CF
D2Bouwmeester – Parayko
13:2055% CF
D3Bortuzzo – Del Zotto
7:320% CF

PP1Perron – Pietrangelo – Bozak – O'Reilly – Schenn
2:24100% CF
PP2Maroon – Schwartz – Parayko – Dunn – Thomas
1:36100% CF
PK1FSteen – O'Reilly
1:24
PK2FSundqvist – Barbashev
1:17
PK1DBouwmeester – Bortuzzo
2:12
PK2DPietrangelo – Parayko
1:36

Current STL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
14:5567% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
10:2438% CF
L3Sheary – Rodrigues – Nylander
9:4771% CF
L4Sobotka – Thompson – Mittelstadt
8:1646% CF
D1Bogosian – Ristolainen
15:1159% CF
D2Montour – Dahlin
15:0669% CF
D3Scandella – Nelson
13:1156% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
2:34100% CF
PP2Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues
1:26
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:49
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:38
PK1DBogosian – Ristolainen
1:19
PK2DScandella – Montour
0:12

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: STL 3 – 4 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.35	1	0	0	22:01	—	—	39	38
Brayden Schenn C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.48	0	0	2	20:49	—	—	39	44
David Perron L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.44	1	0	2	19:33	—	—	39	45
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.63	0	0	0	19:03	—	—	57	56
Robert Thomas C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	17:01	—	—	54	50
Patrick Maroon L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.23	4	0	0	16:08	—	—	57	53
Jaden Schwartz L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.64	2	1	0	16:58	—	—	31	27
Oskar Sundqvist C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	8	0	0	15:43	—	—	32	7
Alexander Steen L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	26	12
Zachary Sanford L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	0	8:31	—	—	50	22
Ivan Barbashev L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	8:26	—	—	18	3
Mackenzie MacEachern L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:38	—	—	18	3
Alex Pietrangelo D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	2	25:31	—	—	44	26
Vince Dunn D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	23:50	—	—	35	18
Jay Bouwmeester D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	24:05	—	—	53	58
Colton Parayko D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.16	1	0	0	22:28	—	—	52	63
Robert Bortuzzo D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	3	0	0	15:30	—	—	30	17
Michael Del Zotto D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:17	—	—	22	38

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	O	34	31	3	.912	3.49	64:59

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.55	0	0	0	23:17	—	—	67	65
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.21	0	1	0	22:42	—	—	68	65
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.94	2	0	0	20:24	—	—	68	65
Johan Larsson L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.05	4	0	0	15:00	—	—	43	47
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:16	—	—	39	46
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	2	0	0	13:10	—	—	44	45
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.18	1	0	2	17:42	—	—	69	80
Conor Sheary L	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.29	1	2	0	16:42	—	—	67	79
Alex Nylander L	L3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.07	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	64	81
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.31	0	0	0	11:57	—	—	40	56
Vladimir Sobotka C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:16	—	—	43	57
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	0	0	0	9:10	—	—	46	60
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.29	0	3	0	22:11	—	—	59	72
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	2	0	2	21:31	—	—	50	52
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	2	1	2	23:15	—	—	65	64
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.12	2	0	0	22:48	—	—	70	73
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	16:38	—	—	46	46
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	0	16:27	—	—	60	66

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.05	64:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresMar 17, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge St. Louis Blues 4–3 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

St. Louis Blues

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Buffalo Sabres