Buffalo Sabres vs. St. Louis BluesDec 27, 2018

FinalThursday, Dec 27, 2018· Enterprise Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	10	12	9	31
STL	0	3	1	4		STL	6	11	15	32

: BUF 51STL 56
: BUF 3.67STL 3.90
PP goals: BUF 1STL 0
Hits: BUF 18STL 22
Blocks: BUF 7STL 14
PIM: BUF 2STL 4
: BUF 47%STL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1 at home. Robert Thomas (STL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:19 together.

Points
Robert Thomas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 13:02.Thomas
Points
Alexander Steen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:11.Steen
Points
David Perron had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:39.Perron
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:19 together.Skinner Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel Dahlin
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.67 expected goals (51 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Robert Bortuzzo (STL) played 19:55, +4:32 up on his 15:23 season average over 58 games.Bortuzzo
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 20:56, −3:45 down on his 24:41 season average over 77 games.Ristolainen
Usage
Alexander Steen (STL) played 19:11, +3:24 up on his 15:47 season average over 64 games.Steen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)STL attacks right (top on phones) →

STL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · STL 56 · BUF 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

STL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

STL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 34% of the game, STL 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

STL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	STL
	54	62
	3.73	4.35
	3.64	3.90
	10	20
	7	4
	20	14
	−0.049	+0.049
	34%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
14:5053% CF
L2Sobotka – Sheary – Rodrigues
11:1843% CF
L3Larsson – Girgensons – Thompson
6:5778% CF
L4Okposo – Elie – Mittelstadt
5:5433% CF
D1Ristolainen – Pilut
15:5148% CF
D2Bogosian – Dahlin
11:2850% CF
D3Scandella – McCabe
8:5225% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
1:19100% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt – Pilut
1:06100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
0:46
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
0:38
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
1:14

Current BUF line combinations →

St. Louis Blues

L1Steen – Perron – O'Reilly
14:2958% CF
L2Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz
13:0459% CF
L3Maroon – Bozak – Thomas
11:5052% CF
L4Nolan – Sundqvist – Barbashev
10:1453% CF
D1Edmundson – Parayko
18:0346% CF
D2Bouwmeester – Bortuzzo
16:2762% CF
D3Butler – Dunn
15:1850% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz – Dunn
1:18100% CF
PP2Steen – Maroon – Perron – Bozak – Parayko
0:42100% CF
PK1FSteen – Bozak
1:06
PK2FSundqvist – Barbashev
0:16
PK1DBouwmeester – Bortuzzo
1:46
PK2DButler – Parayko
0:27

Current STL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:03
STLRobert Thomas (Vince Dunn, Tyler Bozak)wrist0.14 xG
BUF: McCabe, Elie, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, MittelstadtSTL: Butler, Maroon, Bozak, Dunn, Thomas
BUF 0 – 1 STL
10:01
STLJay Bouwmeester (David Perron, Alexander Steen)wrist0.16 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, PilutSTL: Bouwmeester, Steen, Perron, Bortuzzo, O'Reilly
BUF 0 – 2 STL
10:55
STLPatrick Maroon (Robert Thomas, Robert Bortuzzo)backhand0.10 xG
BUF: Okposo, Scandella, McCabe, Sheary, MittelstadtSTL: Butler, Maroon, Bozak, Dunn, Thomas
BUF 0 – 3 STL
17:25
BUFJack EichelPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.08 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinSTL: Bouwmeester, Bortuzzo, Bozak, O'Reilly
BUF 1 – 3 STL

3rd period

13:47
STLRyan O'Reilly (Alexander Steen, David Perron)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Larsson, Skinner, Girgensons, DahlinSTL: Steen, Perron, Bortuzzo, O'Reilly, Parayko
BUF 1 – 4 STL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.31	1	1	0	18:22	—	—	52	72
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.92	0	0	0	18:21	—	—	53	75
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	1.00	0	0	0	17:43	—	—	53	75
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.38	0	1	0	15:46	—	—	37	18
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	41	25
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	14:12	—	—	42	23
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:03	—	—	60	33
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	0	0	13:57	—	—	56	31
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	12:14	—	—	61	50
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	36	27
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	2	1	0	13:45	—	—	39	35
Remi Elie L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:33	—	—	32	15
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.04	2	0	0	20:56	—	—	46	46
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	0	0	20:22	—	—	51	68
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	0	0	22:27	—	—	58	39
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	2	3	0	21:13	—	—	47	51
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	2	1	0	17:18	—	—	36	24
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	16:57	—	—	38	34

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	3.90	60:00

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alexander Steen L	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.15	1	0	0	19:11	—	—	57	39
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.56	0	0	0	18:28	—	—	58	39
David Perron L	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.09	2	1	0	17:39	—	—	50	35
Brayden Schenn C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	3	0	0	17:11	—	—	51	57
Jaden Schwartz L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.78	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	53	57
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.47	2	1	0	15:00	—	—	60	62
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:41	—	—	52	78
Patrick Maroon L	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.29	1	0	0	13:37	—	—	52	78
Robert Thomas C	L3	1	1	2	+2	5	0.34	0	0	0	13:02	—	—	52	78
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	1	0	11:38	—	—	50	48
Ivan Barbashev L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:09	—	—	53	48
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	2	0	0	10:25	—	—	50	48
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	3	2	0	21:57	—	—	52	28
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	0	4	20:20	—	—	47	24
Jay Bouwmeester D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.24	1	3	0	20:11	—	—	55	56
Robert Bortuzzo D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	1	1	0	19:55	—	—	64	84
Vince Dunn D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.23	1	1	0	18:10	—	—	55	75
Chris Butler D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	1	4	0	17:21	—	—	52	68

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	3.67	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.