2026 season · Week 5 · TE
Toss-up between Schultz and Fannin Jr. in PPR. Too close to call: 9.1 vs 8.9 projected PPR points; Schultz's target share has fallen 2 straight weeks (28% → 8%); a 22.5 implied team total vs 18.5. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Schultz. In standard scoring the call flips to Schultz.
Dalton SchultzHOUTE@ TEN9.3 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.2 · ceiling 18
Too close to call: 9.1 vs 8.9 projected PPR points; Schultz's target share has fallen 2 straight weeks (28% → 8%); a 22.5 implied team total vs 18.5.
Medium
Harold Fannin Jr.CLETE@ NYJ9.0 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.0 · ceiling 17
Too close to call: 8.9 vs 9.1 projected PPR points; Schultz's target share has fallen 2 straight weeks (28% → 8%); a 18.5 implied team total vs 22.5.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartDalton Schultz stats and usageHarold Fannin Jr. stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Schultz and Fannin Jr. in PPR. Too close to call: 9.1 vs 8.9 projected PPR points; Schultz's target share has fallen 2 straight weeks (28% → 8%); a 22.5 implied team total vs 18.5. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Schultz. In standard scoring the call flips to Schultz.
Dalton Schultz: his 90th-percentile outcome is 18 PPR points against 17 for Harold Fannin Jr., from 2,000 simulated games each.
Harold Fannin Jr.: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 2, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Schultz 9.3, Fannin Jr. 9.0; half-PPR: Schultz 7.4, Fannin Jr. 7.1; standard: Schultz 5.5, Fannin Jr. 5.1 (points if he plays).
