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NHL Stack Finder: Tuesday, Nov 24

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Tuesday, Nov 24 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM L1 (Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin) vs VGK.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDML1vs VGK0.72 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2VGKL3vs EDM0.58 xG

    Tomas Hertl84%, Victor Olofsson15%, Trevor Connelly34%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3VGKL2vs EDM0.58 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Ivan Barbashev68%, Jack Eichel99%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4VGKPP1vs EDM0.51 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl84%, Shea Theodore92%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5EDMPP1vs VGK0.43 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Kasperi Kapanen12%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6VGKL1vs EDM0.43 xG

    William Karlsson24%, Mitch Marner99%, Brett Howden16%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7EDML4vs VGK0.22 xG

    Trent Frederic4.0%, Isaac Howard30%, Josh Samanski3.2%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8VGKL4vs EDM0.22 xG

    Nic Dowd3.2%, Marc Gatcomb5.7%, Braeden Bowman16%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9EDML2vs VGK0.22 xG

    Mathieu Joseph3.2%, Alex Formenton9.7%, Owen Michaels5.7%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10EDML3vs VGK0.14 xG

    Kasperi Kapanen12%, Max Jones0.1%, Colton Dach11%

    Matchup factors →

By game

VGK @ EDM

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.