WR · New England Patriots
A.J. Brown fantasy stats and usage
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Next: Week 5 vs LV, Sun 1:00 PM ET; Patriots implied for 24.5 points
Usage by week
Snap share
44%2026 avg 44% · 2025 91%
Target share
13%2026 avg 13% · 2025 29%
Carry share
0%2026 avg 0% · 2025 0%
Air-yards share
9%2026 avg 9% · 2025 36%
2026 season2025 season
Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.
Carries / team rush attempts.
2026: 4 targets, 0 carries, 0 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 1 game.
Breakout outlook and route depth
50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.
Falling Expected points 12.4 → 5.7 a game and snap share 84% → 44% after missing time; 28% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3. All breakout candidates
Route share (est.)
48%
2025: 96%
Targets per route (est.)
0.19
2025: 0.24
Yards per route (est.)
1.23
2025: 1.98
aDOT
4.8
air yards per target
Air-yards share
9%
2025: 36%
Routes (est.)
21
4 targets in 1 games
Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.
Separation
2.2 yd
at the catch or incompletion
Cushion
5.7 yd
at the snap
YAC over expected
+1.2
per catch
Next Gen Stats via nflverse, 2025, 12 qualifying weeks (115 targets), target-weighted.
A.J. Brown
Projection
Rest of 2026 season · Fantasy Nerds projection
148.5 PPR pts
- Targets
- 65
- Rec
- 50
- Rec yds
- 719
- Carries
- 0
- Rush yds
- 0
- Scrimmage TD
- 4.5
Third-party projection from Fantasy Nerds, shown because our model has no projection for A.J. Brown this week. Points are re-scored in your format from their stat projection.
Latest news
No recent headlines tagged to A.J. Brown.
Depth chart: WR6 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · full Patriots depth chart
Game log
Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.
- Games
- 1
- Total (PPR)
- 5.6
- Per game
- 5.6
| Opp | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ SEA | 44% | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
Splits
Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to WRs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.
2026: home vs away
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0 | – | – |
| Away | 1 | 5.6 | +0.0 |
2026: by opponent defense vs WR
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough defenses (ranks 1–8) | 1 | 5.6 | +0.0 |
| Middle defenses (9–24) | 0 | – | – |
| Soft defenses (25–32) | 0 | – | – |
2025: home vs away
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 15.5 | +0.8 |
| Away | 9 | 14.1 | -0.6 |
2025: by opponent defense vs WR
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough defenses (ranks 1–8) | 2 | 19.9 | +5.3 |
| Middle defenses (9–24) | 8 | 11.0 | -3.7 |
| Soft defenses (25–32) | 5 | 18.5 | +3.8 |
How this works
Snap share is the share of the Patriots’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.
The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).
Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 1 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many fantasy points does A.J. Brown score per game in 2026?
A.J. Brown averages 5.6 PPR points per game over 1 game in 2026 (4.1 in half-PPR, 2.6 in standard scoring).
What is A.J. Brown’s snap share and role?
A.J. Brown has played 44% of the New England Patriots’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 13% target share. He has 0 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.
When is A.J. Brown’s bye week?
The New England Patriots have their bye in Week 11, so A.J. Brown won’t play that week.
