Edgehalla

WR · New England Patriots

A.J. Brown fantasy stats and usage

A.J. Brown
Team
NEWR
Age
29
Bye
Week 11
Status
IRInjured reserve
  • AscensionFalling18· 28% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3
  • Week 5 report: Ir. Injured Reserve. Expected Return - Week 8 · Ankle
  • Depth chart: WR6 (nflverse)
Scoring
More

Next: Week 5 vs LV, Sun 1:00 PM ET; Patriots implied for 24.5 points

Usage by week

  • Snap share

    44%

    2026 avg 44% · 2025 91%

  • Target share

    13%

    2026 avg 13% · 2025 29%

  • Carry share

    0%

    2026 avg 0% · 2025 0%

  • Air-yards share

    9%

    2026 avg 9% · 2025 36%

2026 season2025 season

Snap share44%Wk 1
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 44%Week 1, 2026: 44%
Target share13%Wk 1
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 13%Week 1, 2026: 13%
Air-yards share9%Wk 1
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 9%Week 1, 2026: 9%
Red-zone opportunities0Wk 1
023Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0Week 1, 2026: 0
Route participation (proxy)
0%50%100%Wk 161218

Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.

Carry share0%Wk 1
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0%Week 1, 2026: 0%

Carries / team rush attempts.

2026: 4 targets, 0 carries, 0 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 1 game.

Breakout outlook and route depth

Ascension score by week18Wk 2
2540506075Wk 148Through week 2: 18

50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.

Falling Expected points 12.4 → 5.7 a game and snap share 84% → 44% after missing time; 28% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3. All breakout candidates

  • Route share (est.)

    48%

    2025: 96%

  • Targets per route (est.)

    0.19

    2025: 0.24

  • Yards per route (est.)

    1.23

    2025: 1.98

  • aDOT

    4.8

    air yards per target

  • Air-yards share

    9%

    2025: 36%

  • Routes (est.)

    21

    4 targets in 1 games

Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.

  • Separation

    2.2 yd

    at the catch or incompletion

  • Cushion

    5.7 yd

    at the snap

  • YAC over expected

    +1.2

    per catch

Next Gen Stats via nflverse, 2025, 12 qualifying weeks (115 targets), target-weighted.

A.J. Brown

Projection

Rest of 2026 season · Fantasy Nerds projection

148.5 PPR pts

Targets
65
Rec
50
Rec yds
719
Carries
0
Rush yds
0
Scrimmage TD
4.5

Third-party projection from Fantasy Nerds, shown because our model has no projection for A.J. Brown this week. Points are re-scored in your format from their stat projection.

Latest news

No recent headlines tagged to A.J. Brown.

Depth chart: WR6 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · full Patriots depth chart

Game log

Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.

Games
1
Total (PPR)
5.6
Per game
5.6
2026 game log
Opp
1@ SEA44%43260005.6

Splits

Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to WRs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.

2026: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home0––
Away15.6+0.0

2026: by opponent defense vs WR

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)15.6+0.0
Middle defenses (9–24)0––
Soft defenses (25–32)0––

2025: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home615.5+0.8
Away914.1-0.6

2025: by opponent defense vs WR

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)219.9+5.3
Middle defenses (9–24)811.0-3.7
Soft defenses (25–32)518.5+3.8

How this works

Snap share is the share of the Patriots’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.

The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).

Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 1 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many fantasy points does A.J. Brown score per game in 2026?

A.J. Brown averages 5.6 PPR points per game over 1 game in 2026 (4.1 in half-PPR, 2.6 in standard scoring).

What is A.J. Brown’s snap share and role?

A.J. Brown has played 44% of the New England Patriots’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 13% target share. He has 0 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.

When is A.J. Brown’s bye week?

The New England Patriots have their bye in Week 11, so A.J. Brown won’t play that week.