2026 season · Week 5 · TE

AJ Barner vs Hunter Henry: Who Should I Start in Week 5?

Start Henry over Barner in PPR. Projects 9.0 vs 8.6 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.

Scoring

Start Henry over Barner in PPR

FlexTE2 · #16

AJ BarnerSEATEvs SF

8.6 PPR pts

117

Floor 1 · median 7.6 · ceiling 17

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 25.3 (fav by 3)
Matchup: Neutral · 11th
Target share: 15%▲4

Projects 8.6 vs 9.0 PPR points.

Medium

StartTE2 · #15

Hunter HenryNETEvs LV

9.0 PPR pts

218

Floor 2 · median 7.7 · ceiling 18

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 24.5 (fav by 3.5)
Matchup: Neutral · 17th
Target share: 14%▲1

Projects 9.0 vs 8.6 PPR points.

Medium

Add more players in Who Should I Start AJ Barner stats and usage Hunter Henry stats and usage All Week 5 projections

How this works

Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology

Frequently asked questions

Should I start AJ Barner or Hunter Henry in Week 5?

Start Henry over Barner in PPR. Projects 9.0 vs 8.6 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.

Who has the higher ceiling, AJ Barner or Hunter Henry?

Hunter Henry: his 90th-percentile outcome is 18 PPR points against 17 for AJ Barner, from 2,000 simulated games each.

Who is the safer start, AJ Barner or Hunter Henry?

Hunter Henry: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 1, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.

What are AJ Barner's and Hunter Henry's Week 5 projections?

PPR: Barner 8.6, Henry 9.0; half-PPR: Barner 7.2, Henry 7.3; standard: Barner 5.8, Henry 5.6 (points if he plays).

Side-by-side comparison