2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Corum over Gordon II in PPR. A 28.5 implied team total vs 17.8; BUF allows the 4th-most RB points; Expected 6.9 vs 6.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
Blake CorumLARRBvs BUF7.9 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 6.7 · ceiling 16
A 28.5 implied team total vs 17.8; BUF allows the 4th-most RB points; Expected 6.9 vs 6.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
Low
Ollie Gordon IIMIARBvs CIN7.3 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 6.4 · ceiling 14
A 17.8 implied team total vs 28.5; BUF allows the 4th-most RB points; Expected 6.4 vs 6.9 PPR points after the chance to play.
LowAdd more players in Who Should I StartBlake Corum stats and usageOllie Gordon II stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Corum over Gordon II in PPR. A 28.5 implied team total vs 17.8; BUF allows the 4th-most RB points; Expected 6.9 vs 6.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
Blake Corum: his 90th-percentile outcome is 16 PPR points against 14 for Ollie Gordon II, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Blake Corum: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 2, and a 87% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Corum 7.9, Gordon II 7.3; half-PPR: Corum 7.5, Gordon II 6.7; standard: Corum 7.2, Gordon II 6.1 (points if he plays).
