2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Corum and Marks in PPR. Too close to call: 6.9 vs 7.1 projected PPR points; Corum's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (45% → 15%); a 28.5 implied team total vs 22.5. In standard scoring the call flips to Corum.
Blake CorumLARRBvs BUF7.9 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 6.7 · ceiling 16
Too close to call: 6.9 vs 7.1 projected PPR points; Corum's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (45% → 15%); a 28.5 implied team total vs 22.5.
Low
Woody MarksHOURB@ TEN8.2 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 7.0 · ceiling 16
Too close to call: 7.1 vs 6.9 projected PPR points; Corum's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (45% → 15%); a 22.5 implied team total vs 28.5.
LowAdd more players in Who Should I StartBlake Corum stats and usageWoody Marks stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Corum and Marks in PPR. Too close to call: 6.9 vs 7.1 projected PPR points; Corum's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (45% → 15%); a 28.5 implied team total vs 22.5. In standard scoring the call flips to Corum.
Woody Marks: his 90th-percentile outcome is 16 PPR points against 16 for Blake Corum, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Woody Marks: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 2, and a 87% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Corum 7.9, Marks 8.2; half-PPR: Corum 7.5, Marks 7.5; standard: Corum 7.2, Marks 6.9 (points if he plays).
