2026 season · Week 5 · RB

J.K. Dobbins vs Woody Marks: Who Should I Start in Week 5?

Start Dobbins over Marks in PPR. Expected 7.4 vs 7.1 PPR points after the chance to play.

Scoring

Start Dobbins over Marks in PPR

StartRB3 · #33

J.K. DobbinsDENRB@ LAC

8.5 PPR pts

316

Floor 3 · median 7.5 · ceiling 16

Plays: 87%
Implied total: 23.0 (fav by 3.5)
Matchup: Neutral · 15th
Snap share: 32%▼10

Expected 7.4 vs 7.1 PPR points after the chance to play.

Low

FlexRB3 · #34

Woody MarksHOURB@ TEN

8.2 PPR pts

216

Floor 2 · median 7.0 · ceiling 16

Plays: 87%
Implied total: 22.5 (fav by 6.5)
Matchup: Neutral · 24th
Snap share: 44%▼1

Expected 7.1 vs 7.4 PPR points after the chance to play.

Low

Add more players in Who Should I Start J.K. Dobbins stats and usage Woody Marks stats and usage All Week 5 projections

How this works

Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology

Frequently asked questions

Should I start J.K. Dobbins or Woody Marks in Week 5?

Start Dobbins over Marks in PPR. Expected 7.4 vs 7.1 PPR points after the chance to play.

Who has the higher ceiling, J.K. Dobbins or Woody Marks?

J.K. Dobbins: his 90th-percentile outcome is 16 PPR points against 16 for Woody Marks, from 2,000 simulated games each.

Who is the safer start, J.K. Dobbins or Woody Marks?

J.K. Dobbins: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 2, and a 87% chance to play vs 87%.

What are J.K. Dobbins's and Woody Marks's Week 5 projections?

PPR: Dobbins 8.5, Marks 8.2; half-PPR: Dobbins 8.1, Marks 7.5; standard: Dobbins 7.8, Marks 6.9 (points if he plays).

Side-by-side comparison