8.5 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 7.5 · ceiling 16
- Plays
- 87%
- Implied total
- 23.0 (fav by 3.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 15th
- Snap share
- 32%▼10
Expected 7.4 vs 7.8 PPR points after the chance to play.
Low2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Henderson over Dobbins in PPR. Expected 7.8 vs 7.4 PPR points after the chance to play. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
8.5 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 7.5 · ceiling 16
Expected 7.4 vs 7.8 PPR points after the chance to play.
Low8.9 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 7.9 · ceiling 17
Expected 7.8 vs 7.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
LowAdd more players in Who Should I StartJ.K. Dobbins stats and usageTreVeyon Henderson stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Henderson over Dobbins in PPR. Expected 7.8 vs 7.4 PPR points after the chance to play. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
TreVeyon Henderson: his 90th-percentile outcome is 17 PPR points against 16 for J.K. Dobbins, from 2,000 simulated games each.
J.K. Dobbins: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 2, and a 87% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Dobbins 8.5, Henderson 9.0; half-PPR: Dobbins 8.1, Henderson 8.4; standard: Dobbins 7.8, Henderson 7.8 (points if he plays).