2026 season · Week 5 · TE
Start Strange over Loveland in PPR. Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Projects 9.7 vs 9.4 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Brenton StrangeJAXTEvs PHI9.7 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.6 · ceiling 19
Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Projects 9.7 vs 9.4 PPR points.
Medium
Colston LovelandCHITE@ GB9.4 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.1 · ceiling 18
Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Projects 9.4 vs 9.7 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartBrenton Strange stats and usageColston Loveland stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Strange over Loveland in PPR. Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Projects 9.7 vs 9.4 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Brenton Strange: his 90th-percentile outcome is 19 PPR points against 18 for Colston Loveland, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Brenton Strange: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 2, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Strange 9.7, Loveland 9.4; half-PPR: Strange 7.8, Loveland 7.7; standard: Strange 5.9, Loveland 6.0 (points if he plays).
