2026 season · Week 5 · TE
Toss-up between Strange and Kraft in PPR. Too close to call: 9.5 vs 9.6 projected PPR points; Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%).
Brenton StrangeJAXTEvs PHI9.7 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.6 · ceiling 19
Too close to call: 9.5 vs 9.6 projected PPR points; Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%).
Medium
Tucker KraftGBTEvs CHI9.8 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.6 · ceiling 19
Too close to call: 9.6 vs 9.5 projected PPR points; Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%); Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%).
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartBrenton Strange stats and usageTucker Kraft stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Strange and Kraft in PPR. Too close to call: 9.5 vs 9.6 projected PPR points; Strange's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (7% → 35%); Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%).
Brenton Strange: his 90th-percentile outcome is 19 PPR points against 19 for Tucker Kraft, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Brenton Strange: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 2, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Strange 9.7, Kraft 9.8; half-PPR: Strange 7.8, Kraft 7.9; standard: Strange 5.9, Kraft 6.1 (points if he plays).
