2026 season · Week 5 · TE

Mark Andrews vs Tucker Kraft: Who Should I Start in Week 5?

Toss-up between Andrews and Kraft in PPR. Too close to call: 9.4 vs 9.6 projected PPR points; Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%); ATL allows the 7th-fewest TE points (early-season DvP is a weak signal). In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Kraft. In standard scoring the call flips to Kraft.

Scoring

Toss-up between Andrews and Kraft in PPR

StartTE1 · #11tie

Mark AndrewsBALTE@ ATL

9.6 PPR pts

218

Floor 2 · median 8.6 · ceiling 18

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 20.3 (dog by 3)
Matchup: Tough · 7th
Target share: 21%▼4

Too close to call: 9.4 vs 9.6 projected PPR points; Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%); ATL allows the 7th-fewest TE points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).

Medium

StartTE1 · #9tie

Tucker KraftGBTEvs CHI

9.8 PPR pts

219

Floor 2 · median 8.6 · ceiling 19

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 21.3 (dog by 3)
Matchup: Tough · 6th
Target share: 23%▲10

Too close to call: 9.6 vs 9.4 projected PPR points; Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%); CHI allows the 6th-fewest TE points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).

Medium

Add more players in Who Should I Start Mark Andrews stats and usage Tucker Kraft stats and usage All Week 5 projections

How this works

Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology

Frequently asked questions

Should I start Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft in Week 5?

Toss-up between Andrews and Kraft in PPR. Too close to call: 9.4 vs 9.6 projected PPR points; Kraft's target share has risen 2 straight weeks (10% → 23%); ATL allows the 7th-fewest TE points (early-season DvP is a weak signal). In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Kraft. In standard scoring the call flips to Kraft.

Who has the higher ceiling, Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft?

Tucker Kraft: his 90th-percentile outcome is 19 PPR points against 18 for Mark Andrews, from 2,000 simulated games each.

Who is the safer start, Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft?

Mark Andrews: a floor (10th percentile) of 2 PPR points vs 2, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.

What are Mark Andrews's and Tucker Kraft's Week 5 projections?

PPR: Andrews 9.6, Kraft 9.8; half-PPR: Andrews 7.5, Kraft 7.9; standard: Andrews 5.5, Kraft 6.1 (points if he plays).

Side-by-side comparison