2026 season · Week 5 · QB
Toss-up between Stroud and Shough in PPR. Too close to call: 15.7 vs 15.8 projected PPR points; TEN allows the 7th-fewest QB points.
C.J. StroudHOUQB@ TEN16.1 PPR pts
Floor 7 · median 15.2 · ceiling 26
Too close to call: 15.7 vs 15.8 projected PPR points; TEN allows the 7th-fewest QB points.
Medium
Tyler ShoughNOQBvs MIN16.2 PPR pts
Floor 7 · median 15.2 · ceiling 26
Too close to call: 15.8 vs 15.7 projected PPR points; MIN allows the 2nd-fewest QB points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartC.J. Stroud stats and usageTyler Shough stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Stroud and Shough in PPR. Too close to call: 15.7 vs 15.8 projected PPR points; TEN allows the 7th-fewest QB points.
Tyler Shough: his 90th-percentile outcome is 26 PPR points against 26 for C.J. Stroud, from 2,000 simulated games each.
C.J. Stroud: a floor (10th percentile) of 7 PPR points vs 7, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Stroud 16.1, Shough 16.2; half-PPR: Stroud 16.1, Shough 16.2; standard: Stroud 16.0, Shough 16.2 (points if he plays).
