2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Toss-up between Boston and Shakir in PPR. Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.8 projected PPR points; a 18.5 implied team total vs 26.0; NYJ allows the 2nd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
Denzel BostonCLEWR@ NYJ10.8 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.7 · ceiling 20
Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.8 projected PPR points; a 18.5 implied team total vs 26.0; NYJ allows the 2nd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
Medium
Khalil ShakirBUFWR@ LAR11.1 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.9 · ceiling 21
Too close to call: 10.8 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; a 26.0 implied team total vs 18.5; NYJ allows the 2nd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartDenzel Boston stats and usageKhalil Shakir stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Boston and Shakir in PPR. Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.8 projected PPR points; a 18.5 implied team total vs 26.0; NYJ allows the 2nd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
Khalil Shakir: his 90th-percentile outcome is 21 PPR points against 20 for Denzel Boston, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Denzel Boston: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Boston 10.8, Shakir 11.1; half-PPR: Boston 8.9, Shakir 9.0; standard: Boston 6.9, Shakir 7.0 (points if he plays).
