2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Toss-up between Shakir and Odunze in PPR. Too close to call: 10.8 vs 10.9 projected PPR points; Odunze's target share has risen 3 straight weeks (12% → 23%); GB allows the 5th-most WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal). In standard scoring the call flips to Odunze.
Khalil ShakirBUFWR@ LAR11.1 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.9 · ceiling 21
Too close to call: 10.8 vs 10.9 projected PPR points; Odunze's target share has risen 3 straight weeks (12% → 23%); GB allows the 5th-most WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
Medium
Rome OdunzeCHIWR@ GB11.1 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.8 · ceiling 21
Too close to call: 10.9 vs 10.8 projected PPR points; Odunze's target share has risen 3 straight weeks (12% → 23%); GB allows the 5th-most WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartKhalil Shakir stats and usageRome Odunze stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Shakir and Odunze in PPR. Too close to call: 10.8 vs 10.9 projected PPR points; Odunze's target share has risen 3 straight weeks (12% → 23%); GB allows the 5th-most WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal). In standard scoring the call flips to Odunze.
Rome Odunze: his 90th-percentile outcome is 21 PPR points against 21 for Khalil Shakir, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Khalil Shakir: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Shakir 11.1, Odunze 11.1; half-PPR: Shakir 9.0, Odunze 9.2; standard: Shakir 7.0, Odunze 7.4 (points if he plays).
