11.4 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 10.1 · ceiling 22
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 21.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Tough · 5th
- Target share
- 23%▼1
Projects 11.4 vs 11.2 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Start Golden over Tucker in PPR. Projects 11.4 vs 11.2 PPR points.
11.4 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 10.1 · ceiling 22
Projects 11.4 vs 11.2 PPR points.
Medium11.2 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 10.1 · ceiling 21
Projects 11.2 vs 11.4 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartMatthew Golden stats and usageTre Tucker stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Golden over Tucker in PPR. Projects 11.4 vs 11.2 PPR points.
Matthew Golden: his 90th-percentile outcome is 22 PPR points against 21 for Tre Tucker, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Matthew Golden: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Golden 11.4, Tucker 11.2; half-PPR: Golden 9.5, Tucker 9.1; standard: Golden 7.6, Tucker 7.1 (points if he plays).