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NHL Stack Finder: Wednesday, Nov 4

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Wednesday, Nov 4 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: LAK L1 (Kempe–Panarin–Byfield) vs SJS.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1LAKL1vs SJS0.67 xG

    Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%

    12.5 min/game · 3.41 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  2. #2SEAL1vs CGY0.58 xG

    Jordan Eberle30%, Chandler Stephenson17%, Bobby McMann44%

    10.0 min/game · 4.02 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Dustin Wolf .897 (70% to start)
    • Wolf .842 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  3. #3BUFL1vs OTT0.55 xG

    Jack Quinn45%, Noah Ostlund25%, Zach Benson56%

    12.4 min/game · 3.49 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  4. #4FLAL2vs CHI0.48 xG

    Eetu Luostarinen12%, Anton Lundell46%, Sandis Vilmanis6.4%

    7.1 min/game · 4.23 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +14%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  5. #5FLAL1vs CHI0.48 xG

    Carter Verhaeghe72%, Sam Bennett84%, Matthew Tkachuk100%

    9.7 min/game · 3.10 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +14%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  6. #6BUFL2vs OTT0.48 xG

    Tage Thompson100%, Josh Norris39%, Josh Doan61%

    11.8 min/game · 3.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  7. #7LAKPP1vs SJS0.46 xG

    Mats Zuccarello51%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%, Brandt Clarke96%

    4.0 min/game · 7.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SJS shorthanded time +17%
    • SJS PK xGA/60 +9%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .16
  8. #8CHIL1vs FLA0.40 xG

    Jordan Greenway0.3%, Cole Smith0.1%, Ryan Greene10%

    11.1 min/game · 2.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • FLA 5v5 xGA/60 −3%
    • vs Jacob Markstrom .885 (58% to start)
    • Markstrom .811 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  9. #9CGYL1vs SEA0.39 xG

    Morgan Frost23%, Matt Coronato40%, Matvei Gridin40%

    10.6 min/game · 2.31 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Joey Daccord .899 (79% to start)
    • Daccord .862 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  10. #10BUFL3vs OTT0.39 xG

    Ryan McLeod26%, Peyton Krebs19%, Konsta Helenius40%

    8.2 min/game · 3.76 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28

By game

OTT @ BUF

  • BUFL1vs OTT0.55 xG

    Jack Quinn45%, Noah Ostlund25%, Zach Benson56%

    12.4 min/game · 3.49 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • BUFL2vs OTT0.48 xG

    Tage Thompson100%, Josh Norris39%, Josh Doan61%

    11.8 min/game · 3.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • BUFL3vs OTT0.39 xG

    Ryan McLeod26%, Peyton Krebs19%, Konsta Helenius40%

    8.2 min/game · 3.76 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • BUFPP1vs OTT0.32 xG

    Tage Thompson100%, Rasmus Dahlin100%, Jack Quinn45%, Josh Doan61%, Zach Benson56%

    2.4 min/game · 8.35 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • OTT shorthanded time +7%
    • OTT PK xGA/60 −7%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
    • DK correlation .20
  • OTTL1vs BUF0.20 xG

    Claude Giroux30%, Michael Amadio3.3%, Shane Pinto37%

    5.4 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • BUF 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
    • vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen .905 (84% to start)
    • Luukkonen .867 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • OTTL3vs BUF0.12 xG

    Warren Foegele4.0%, Drake Batherson97%, Tim Stützle99%

    5.5 min/game · 1.62 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • BUF 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
    • vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen .905 (84% to start)
    • Luukkonen .867 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • BUFL4vs OTT0.12 xG

    Sam Carrick0.1%, Beck Malenstyn4.1%, Jiri Kulich26%

    5.8 min/game · 1.61 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −14%
    • vs Linus Ullmark .892 (73% to start)
    • Ullmark .815 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27

CHI @ FLA

  • FLAL2vs CHI0.48 xG

    Eetu Luostarinen12%, Anton Lundell46%, Sandis Vilmanis6.4%

    7.1 min/game · 4.23 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +14%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • FLAL1vs CHI0.48 xG

    Carter Verhaeghe72%, Sam Bennett84%, Matthew Tkachuk100%

    9.7 min/game · 3.10 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +14%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • CHIL1vs FLA0.40 xG

    Jordan Greenway0.3%, Cole Smith0.1%, Ryan Greene10%

    11.1 min/game · 2.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • FLA 5v5 xGA/60 −3%
    • vs Jacob Markstrom .885 (58% to start)
    • Markstrom .811 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  • CHIL2vs FLA0.32 xG

    Patrick Kane80%, Frank Nazar54%, Roman Kantserov58%

    9.1 min/game · 2.46 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • FLA 5v5 xGA/60 −3%
    • vs Jacob Markstrom .885 (58% to start)
    • Markstrom .811 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • FLAPP1vs CHI0.29 xG

    Aleksander Barkov97%, Seth Jones80%, Sam Reinhart99%, Matthew Tkachuk100%, Brady Tkachuk100%

    2.9 min/game · 7.16 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CHI shorthanded time −3%
    • CHI PK xGA/60 −1%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .10
  • CHIL3vs FLA0.17 xG

    Teuvo Teravainen13%, Tyler Bertuzzi62%, Anton Frondell72%

    7.4 min/game · 1.66 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • FLA 5v5 xGA/60 −3%
    • vs Jacob Markstrom .885 (58% to start)
    • Markstrom .811 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • FLAL3vs CHI0.15 xG

    Aleksander Barkov97%, Sam Reinhart99%, Brady Tkachuk100%

    5.8 min/game · 1.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +14%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • CHIL4vs FLA0.12 xG

    Ryan Donato9.9%, Nick Lardis23%, Oliver Moore22%

    5.0 min/game · 1.65 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • FLA 5v5 xGA/60 −3%
    • vs Jacob Markstrom .885 (58% to start)
    • Markstrom .811 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • CHIPP1vs FLA0.05 xG

    Patrick Kane80%, Tyler Bertuzzi62%, Bowen Byram96%, Roman Kantserov58%, Anton Frondell72%

    2.8 min/game · 4.90 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • FLA shorthanded time +15%
    • FLA PK xGA/60 −13%
    • vs Jacob Markstrom .885 (58% to start)
    • Markstrom .811 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • FLAL4vs CHI0.05 xG

    A.J. Greer7.5%, Jesper Boqvist0.1%, Nolan Foote0.0%

    10.5 min/game · 1.95 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%

    • CHI 5v5 xGA/60 +14%
    • vs Spencer Knight .901 (75% to start)
    • Knight .866 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28

SJS @ LAK

  • LAKL1vs SJS0.67 xG

    Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%

    12.5 min/game · 3.41 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • LAKPP1vs SJS0.46 xG

    Mats Zuccarello51%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%, Brandt Clarke96%

    4.0 min/game · 7.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SJS shorthanded time +17%
    • SJS PK xGA/60 +9%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .16
  • SJSL1vs LAK0.33 xG

    Mason Marchment47%, Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%

    12.1 min/game · 2.08 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
    • vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (80% to start)
    • Kuemper .864 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .30
  • SJSPP1vs LAK0.32 xG

    Alexander Wennberg25%, Luca Cagnoni56%, Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%, Igor Chernyshov52%

    2.5 min/game · 9.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • LAK shorthanded time −16%
    • LAK PK xGA/60 −7%
    • vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (80% to start)
    • Kuemper .864 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • LAKL2vs SJS0.28 xG

    Mats Zuccarello51%, Alex Turcotte8.8%, Alex Laferriere68%

    10.5 min/game · 1.68 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • LAKL3vs SJS0.26 xG

    Erik Haula12%, Joel Armia3.3%, Trevor Moore9.1%

    10.1 min/game · 1.97 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%

    • SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • SJSL3vs LAK0.25 xG

    Tyler Toffoli38%, Igor Chernyshov52%, Michael Misa60%

    9.0 min/game · 2.11 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
    • vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (80% to start)
    • Kuemper .864 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • SJSL2vs LAK0.21 xG

    Alexander Wennberg25%, Collin Graf28%, Ivar Stenberg82%

    10.5 min/game · 1.52 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
    • vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (80% to start)
    • Kuemper .864 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • SJSL4vs LAK0.17 xG

    Barclay Goodrow0.1%, Kiefer Sherwood59%, Zack Ostapchuk3.2%

    7.3 min/game · 1.81 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
    • vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (80% to start)
    • Kuemper .864 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • LAKL4vs SJS0.02 xG

    Jeff Malott3.2%, Samuel Helenius3.2%, Taylor Ward0.0%

    3.1 min/game · 2.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%

    • SJS 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Yaroslav Askarov .884 (60% to start)
    • Askarov .831 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28

CGY @ SEA

  • SEAL1vs CGY0.58 xG

    Jordan Eberle30%, Chandler Stephenson17%, Bobby McMann44%

    10.0 min/game · 4.02 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Dustin Wolf .897 (70% to start)
    • Wolf .842 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • CGYL1vs SEA0.39 xG

    Morgan Frost23%, Matt Coronato40%, Matvei Gridin40%

    10.6 min/game · 2.31 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Joey Daccord .899 (79% to start)
    • Daccord .862 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • SEAL3vs CGY0.33 xG

    Ryan Winterton4.0%, Shane Wright27%, Berkly Catton30%

    8.8 min/game · 2.57 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Dustin Wolf .897 (70% to start)
    • Wolf .842 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • CGYL2vs SEA0.30 xG

    Mikael Backlund14%, Joel Farabee11%, Samuel Honzek15%

    8.3 min/game · 2.66 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Joey Daccord .899 (79% to start)
    • Daccord .862 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • SEAL2vs CGY0.30 xG

    Jared McCann72%, Kaapo Kakko18%, Matty Beniers50%

    9.5 min/game · 2.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Dustin Wolf .897 (70% to start)
    • Wolf .842 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .28
  • CGYPP1vs SEA0.19 xG

    Morgan Frost23%, Joel Farabee11%, Matt Coronato40%, Zayne Parekh68%, Matvei Gridin40%

    1.6 min/game · 6.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • SEA shorthanded time −23%
    • SEA PK xGA/60 +16%
    • vs Joey Daccord .899 (79% to start)
    • Daccord .862 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
    • DK correlation .20
  • CGYL3vs SEA0.17 xG

    Martin Pospisil6.4%, Adam Klapka8.9%, Maxim Tsyplakov14%

    7.6 min/game · 1.65 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Joey Daccord .899 (79% to start)
    • Daccord .862 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • SEAPP1vs CGY0.15 xG

    Brandon Montour83%, Kaapo Kakko18%, Matty Beniers50%, Shane Wright27%, Berkly Catton30%

    2.9 min/game · 3.70 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • CGY shorthanded time +29%
    • CGY PK xGA/60 +5%
    • vs Dustin Wolf .897 (70% to start)
    • Wolf .842 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
    • DK correlation .19
  • SEAL4vs CGY0.13 xG

    Frederick Gaudreau0.2%, Mackie Samoskevich, Ben Meyers0.0%

    5.7 min/game · 1.88 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%

    • CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +6%
    • vs Dustin Wolf .897 (70% to start)
    • Wolf .842 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27
  • CGYL4vs SEA0.05 xG

    Ryan Strome4.0%, Yegor Sharangovich7.8%, Connor Zary10%

    10.9 min/game · 2.45 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%

    • SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Joey Daccord .899 (79% to start)
    • Daccord .862 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
    • DK correlation .27

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.