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NHL Stack Finder: Thursday, Nov 5

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Thursday, Nov 5 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM L1 (Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin) vs ANA.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDML1vs ANA0.82 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2WPGL1vs VAN0.68 xG

    Mark Scheifele99%, Kyle Connor99%, Cole Perfetti49%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3UTAL1vs MTL0.62 xG

    Vincent Trocheck89%, Nick Schmaltz95%, Clayton Keller100%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4STLL1vs NJD0.60 xG

    Robert Thomas92%, Dylan Holloway95%, Jimmy Snuggerud80%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5PITL1vs BOS0.57 xG

    Evgeni Malkin84%, Tommy Novak21%, Egor Chinakhov49%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6UTAL2vs MTL0.57 xG

    Anders Lee29%, Dylan Guenther99%, Logan Cooley94%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7COLL1vs NSH0.56 xG

    Artturi Lehkonen68%, Nathan MacKinnon100%, Martin Necas100%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8BOSL2vs PIT0.55 xG

    Pavel Zacha77%, Morgan Geekie96%, Casey Mittelstadt14%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9NJDPP1vs STL0.54 xG

    Jesper Bratt96%, Nico Hischier98%, Jack Hughes100%, Luke Evangelista70%, Luke Hughes85%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10NJDL2vs STL0.53 xG

    Evan Rodrigues8.3%, Arseny Gritsyuk22%, Dawson Mercer24%

    Matchup factors →

By game

UTA @ MTL

VGK @ DET

CHI @ TBL

STL @ NJD

CAR @ NYI

PHI @ NYR

BOS @ PIT

DAL @ CBJ

VAN @ WPG

ANA @ EDM

NSH @ COL

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.