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Goalie form · 2025-26

Jake Oettinger

Jake Oettinger save % and GSAx

Dallas Stars · GoaliePlayer page →

Jake Oettinger has a .899 save percentage in 2025-26 (138 goals on 1,372 shots in 54 games, 22nd of 50 regular goalies) and +4.4 goals saved above expected.

His form is steady: .899 over his last 10 games (−1.5 GSAx) against .899 for the season.

Since 2020-21 he has stopped .910 of 8,299 regular-season shots (+61.6 GSAx), .816 on high-danger chances.

He is strongest against other shots (.916, +47.2 GSAx) and weakest against rebounds (.828, −19.5).

Of the league's top shooters, Nathan MacKinnon has tested him most: 14 goals on 126 shots (.889).

Evan Bouchard beats him most against expectation (+3.9 goals above xG); Matt Boldy struggles most (−7.1).

Save % by window

Last 5 games

.901

HDSV%
.824
GSAx
−1.2
Sample
5 GP · 142 SOG

Apr 22, 2026 – Oct 2, 2026

Last 10 games

.899

HDSV%
.776
GSAx
−1.5
Sample
10 GP · 277 SOG

Apr 9, 2026 – Oct 2, 2026

This season (2025-26)

.899

HDSV%
.826
GSAx
+4.4
Sample
54 GP · 1,372 SOG

All time (since 2020-21)

.910

HDSV%
.816
GSAx
+61.6
Sample
306 GP · 8,299 SOG

Last 5 and last 10 are his most recent games, playoffs included. Season and all time are regular season. Shootouts excluded.

Save % by shot type and danger

Regular season since 2020-21. GSAx above zero means he stopped more than our model expected.

Save percentage by shot class
ShotSOGGASV%GSAx
Rebounds728125.828−19.5
Rush / transition80061.924−3.8
Cycle / zone play3,380286.915+34.4
Off the faceoff37422.941−3.9
Other3,017254.916+47.2
Save percentage by danger
ShotSOGGASV%GSAx
High danger2,126391.816−12.4
Medium / low danger6,173357.942+66.8

Oettinger vs the league's top shooters

The top 50 fantasy skaters who have shot on him most, all regular-season and playoff games since 2020-21. Click a shooter for the full head-to-head.

ShooterSOGGSV%G−xG
Nathan MacKinnonCOL12614.889+2.8
Matt BoldyMIN1075.953−7.1
Jack EichelVGK859.894+1.4
Cale MakarCOL728.889+1.5
Kirill KaprizovMIN6711.836+2.3
Zach HymanEDM679.866−0.3
Connor McDavidEDM668.879−0.5
Kyle ConnorWPG639.857+0.8
Martin NecasCOL626.903+0.2
Ryan HartmanMIN614.934−1.4
Evan BouchardEDM557.873+3.9
Joel Eriksson EkMIN555.909+0.1
Tyler ToffoliSJS484.917−0.3
Blake ColemanMIN483.938−1.5
Alex DeBrincatDET457.844+1.6
Mikko RantanenDAL455.8890.0
Filip ForsbergNSH444.909+0.4
Mark ScheifeleWPG426.857−0.3
Elias LindholmBOS417.829+1.7
Nikolaj EhlersCAR405.875+0.7
Brock FaberMIN394.897+1.9
Patrick KaneCHI392.949−1.9
Rasmus AnderssonVGK373.919+0.9
Quinn HughesMIN373.919+0.2
Josh MansonCOL371.973−0.3
Leon DraisaitlEDM366.833+0.4
Mark StoneVGK364.889−1.4
Jordan EberleSEA355.857+1.1
Josh MorrisseyWPG351.971−2.0
Brock NelsonCOL343.912−3.0
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN333.909−0.1
Jared SpurgeonMIN3301.000−1.4
Nazem KadriCOL3301.000−2.8
Eeli TolvanenNYR326.813+3.2
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM325.844+1.4
Gabriel VilardiWPG302.933−2.7
Roman JosiNSH301.967−1.3
Elias PetterssonVAN295.828+1.5
Adrian KempeLAK293.8970.0
Dougie HamiltonNJD291.966−0.8
Mattias EkholmEDM2901.000−1.9
Clayton KellerUTA284.857+1.4
Rasmus DahlinBUF282.929+0.6
Colton ParaykoSTL271.963−0.5
Tomas HertlVGK264.846−0.3
David PastrnakBOS264.846+1.5
Carter VerhaegheFLA263.885−0.1
Steven StamkosNSH255.800+1.0
Chandler StephensonSEA254.8400.0
Dylan StromeWSH254.840+1.5

Toughest shooters and the ones he owns

Goals minus expected goals against him, current NHL skaters with 25+ unblocked attempts on him.

Toughest shooters

Most goals above expected

  1. Evan Bouchard7 G on 3.1 xG +3.9
  2. Ryan O'Reilly6 G on 2.5 xG +3.5
  3. Eeli Tolvanen6 G on 2.8 xG +3.2
  4. Mattias Janmark5 G on 2.1 xG +2.9
  5. Yanni Gourde6 G on 3.1 xG +2.9

He owns them

Fewest goals against expected

  1. Matt Boldy5 G on 12.1 xG −7.1
  2. Brock Nelson3 G on 6.0 xG −3.0
  3. Nazem Kadri0 G on 2.8 xG −2.8
  4. Gabriel Vilardi2 G on 4.7 xG −2.7
  5. Brock Boeser1 G on 3.5 xG −2.5

Season by season

SeasonGPSV%HDSV%GSAx
2026-271.909.857+0.2
2025-2654.899.826+2.7
2024-2558.909.775+17.8
2023-2454.905.796+2.6
2022-2362.919.836+22.9
2021-2248.914.852+5.8
2020-2129.911.803+2.2

FAQ

What is Jake Oettinger's save percentage in 2025-26?
.899: 1234 saves on 1372 shots in 54 regular-season games, with +4.4 goals saved above expected and .826 on high-danger shots.
Is Jake Oettinger hot right now?
He is about at his normal level. He has a .899 save percentage over his last 10 games and .901 over his last 5, against .899 for the season.
What is Jake Oettinger's career save percentage since 2020-21?
.910 on 8,299 regular-season shots in 306 games, +61.6 goals saved above expected (play-by-play from 2020-21).
Which top shooter has scored the most goals on Jake Oettinger?
Nathan MacKinnon, with 14 goals on 126 shots on goal (11.2 expected goals) in 25 games, regular season and playoffs.
Who is the toughest shooter for Jake Oettinger?
By goals above expected, Evan Bouchard: 7 goals on 3.1 expected (+3.9) from 67 unblocked attempts.

More on Oettinger and other goalies

From NHL play-by-play since 2020-21, processed by Edgehalla. Expected goals and shot classes from our model; high danger as defined by our shot-quality model.