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NHL Stack Finder: Friday, Nov 6

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Friday, Nov 6 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: MIN PP1 (Ek–Kaprizov–Hughes–Boldy–Shabanov) vs SJS.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1MINPP1vs SJS0.62 xG

    Joel Eriksson Ek81%, Kirill Kaprizov98%, Quinn Hughes100%, Matt Boldy100%, Maxim Shabanov27%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2BUFL1vs CBJ0.58 xG

    Jack Quinn47%, Noah Ostlund26%, Zach Benson56%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3BUFL2vs CBJ0.51 xG

    Tage Thompson100%, Josh Norris38%, Josh Doan61%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4ANAL2vs CGY0.44 xG

    A.J. Greer7.6%, Cutter Gauthier98%, Leo Carlsson94%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5CBJL1vs BUF0.44 xG

    Kent Johnson31%, Matthew Knies95%, Adam Fantilli91%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6SJSPP1vs MIN0.42 xG

    Alexander Wennberg24%, Luca Cagnoni64%, Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%, Igor Chernyshov53%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7BUFL3vs CBJ0.42 xG

    Ryan McLeod26%, Peyton Krebs19%, Konsta Helenius40%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8ANAL1vs CGY0.41 xG

    Alex Killorn5.1%, Mikael Granlund52%, Beckett Sennecke94%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9CBJL2vs BUF0.40 xG

    Charlie Coyle49%, Mathieu Olivier18%, Cole Sillinger11%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10SJSL1vs MIN0.36 xG

    Mason Marchment47%, Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%

    Matchup factors →

By game

CBJ @ BUF

SJS @ MIN

ANA @ CGY

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.