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NHL Stack Finder: Saturday, Nov 7

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Saturday, Nov 7 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM L1 (Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin) vs VAN.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDML1vs VAN1.01 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2STLL1vs NSH0.65 xG

    Robert Thomas92%, Dylan Holloway95%, Jimmy Snuggerud80%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3LAKL1vs PIT0.63 xG

    Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4DALPP1vs SJS0.63 xG

    Mikko Rantanen99%, Roope Hintz84%, Jason Robertson100%, Miro Heiskanen99%, Wyatt Johnston100%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5TORPP1vs MTL0.59 xG

    John Tavares96%, William Nylander99%, Darren Raddysh99%, Auston Matthews99%, Kirill Marchenko99%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6PITL1vs LAK0.58 xG

    Evgeni Malkin84%, Tommy Novak21%, Egor Chinakhov49%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7SEAL1vs NYR0.57 xG

    Jordan Eberle34%, Chandler Stephenson19%, Bobby McMann45%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8MTLPP1vs TOR0.57 xG

    Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Lane Hutson100%, Juraj Slafkovský99%, Ivan Demidov91%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9TBLPP1vs MIN0.56 xG

    John Carlson99%, Nikita Kucherov100%, Jake Guentzel100%, Brayden Point95%, Brandon Hagel100%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10CARL1vs CHI0.55 xG

    Taylor Hall28%, Logan Stankoven67%, Jackson Blake69%

    Matchup factors →

By game

FLA @ WSH

STL @ NSH

NYR @ SEA

MTL @ TOR

UTA @ OTT

NJD @ NYI

CHI @ CAR

SJS @ DAL

TBL @ MIN

DET @ COL

PIT @ LAK

VAN @ EDM

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.