Edgehalla

Goalie form · 2025-26

Jacob Markstrom

Jacob Markstrom save % and GSAx

Florida Panthers · GoaliePlayer page →

Jacob Markstrom has a .883 save percentage in 2025-26 (130 goals on 1,113 shots in 44 games, 41st of 50 regular goalies) and −13.1 goals saved above expected.

His form is steady: .875 over his last 10 games (−2.6 GSAx) against .883 for the season.

Since 2017-18 he has stopped .907 of 13,241 regular-season shots (+77.3 GSAx), .826 on high-danger chances.

He is strongest against other shots (.916, +88.5 GSAx) and weakest against rebounds (.798, −75.3).

Of the league's top shooters, Connor McDavid has tested him most: 19 goals on 94 shots (.798).

Connor McDavid beats him most against expectation (+6.0 goals above xG); Vincent Trocheck struggles most (−4.1).

Save % by window

Last 5 games

.889

HDSV%
.800
GSAx
+1.9
Sample
5 GP · 108 SOG

Mar 28, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026

Last 10 games

.875

HDSV%
.766
GSAx
−2.6
Sample
10 GP · 224 SOG

Mar 8, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026

This season (2025-26)

.883

HDSV%
.789
GSAx
−13.1
Sample
44 GP · 1,113 SOG

All time (since 2017-18)

.907

HDSV%
.826
GSAx
+77.3
Sample
470 GP · 13,241 SOG

Last 5 and last 10 are his most recent games, playoffs included. Season and all time are regular season. Shootouts excluded.

Save % by shot type and danger

Regular season since 2017-18. GSAx above zero means he stopped more than our model expected.

Save percentage by shot class
ShotSOGGASV%GSAx
Rebounds1,081218.798−75.3
Rush / transition1,370126.908−23.7
Cycle / zone play5,224434.917+83.4
Off the faceoff47027.943+0.8
Other5,096428.916+88.5
Save percentage by danger
ShotSOGGASV%GSAx
High danger3,538615.826+1.4
Medium / low danger9,703618.936+72.3

Markstrom vs the league's top shooters

The top 50 fantasy skaters who have shot on him most, all regular-season and playoff games since 2017-18. Click a shooter for the full head-to-head.

ShooterSOGGSV%G−xG
Connor McDavidEDM9419.798+6.0
Leon DraisaitlEDM9313.860+0.7
Darnell NurseSJS673.955−1.0
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM6410.844+2.4
Auston MatthewsTOR6210.839+1.4
Nikolaj EhlersCAR595.915+0.2
Kyle ConnorWPG5812.793+4.0
Brock BoeserVAN546.889−0.6
Tyler ToffoliSJS538.849+0.4
Alex DeBrincatDET538.849+1.5
Zach HymanEDM5210.808+4.0
Patrick KaneCHI525.904+0.5
Bo HorvatNYI507.860+1.7
Miro HeiskanenDAL503.940−0.3
Andrei SvechnikovCAR498.837+1.8
John TavaresTOR496.878+0.2
Rickard RakellPIT483.938−2.6
Mitch MarnerVGK483.938−1.9
Sebastian AhoCAR478.830+1.9
Mika ZibanejadNYR474.915−1.3
Quinn HughesMIN462.957−1.5
Adrian KempeLAK457.844+2.3
Jason RobertsonDAL449.795+2.9
Mark ScheifeleWPG438.814+2.4
Brady TkachukFLA435.884+0.4
Nathan MacKinnonCOL428.810+3.2
J.T. MillerNYR427.833+1.5
Brent BurnsCOL425.881+2.4
Esa LindellDAL4101.000−2.1
Clayton KellerUTA405.875+0.8
Sean WalkerCAR391.974−0.8
Timo MeierNJD387.816+1.9
Roman JosiNSH372.946−0.6
Ryan HartmanMIN365.861−0.4
Adam LarssonSEA355.857+3.6
David PastrnakBOS355.857+1.0
Elias PetterssonVAN355.857+0.5
Mathew BarzalNYI353.914−0.5
Morgan RiellyTOR351.971−1.4
Filip ForsbergNSH344.882+0.4
Josh MorrisseyWPG344.882+0.5
Viktor ArvidssonBOS343.912−1.5
Alex TuchBUF341.971−2.8
Jake GuentzelTBL337.788+2.6
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN335.848+1.2
Pavel BuchnevichSTL335.848+1.4
Shayne GostisbehereCAR334.879+1.0
Jackson BlakeCAR334.879−0.8
Alexis LafrenièreNYR333.909−0.2
Vincent TrocheckUTA3301.000−4.1

Toughest shooters and the ones he owns

Goals minus expected goals against him, current NHL skaters with 25+ unblocked attempts on him.

Toughest shooters

Most goals above expected

  1. Connor McDavid19 G on 13.0 xG +6.0
  2. Evan Bouchard7 G on 1.8 xG +5.2
  3. Kyle Connor12 G on 8.0 xG +4.0
  4. Zach Hyman10 G on 6.0 xG +4.0
  5. Jordan Kyrou7 G on 3.3 xG +3.8

He owns them

Fewest goals against expected

  1. Vincent Trocheck0 G on 4.1 xG −4.1
  2. Mikael Backlund1 G on 5.0 xG −4.0
  3. Josh Anderson1 G on 4.9 xG −3.9
  4. Christian Dvorak1 G on 4.2 xG −3.2
  5. Evander Kane4 G on 7.1 xG −3.1

Season by season

SeasonGPSV%HDSV%GSAx
2026-2711.0001.000+2.1
2025-2644.883.789−13.7
2024-2549.900.823−1.0
2023-2448.905.854+12.6
2022-2359.892.813−7.3
2021-2263.922.847+22.1
2020-2143.904.793−4.3
2019-2043.918.837+9.4
2018-1960.912.837+23.0
2017-1860.912.820+30.7

FAQ

What is Jacob Markstrom's save percentage in 2025-26?
.883: 983 saves on 1113 shots in 44 regular-season games, with −13.1 goals saved above expected and .789 on high-danger shots.
Is Jacob Markstrom hot right now?
He is about at his normal level. He has a .875 save percentage over his last 10 games and .889 over his last 5, against .883 for the season.
What is Jacob Markstrom's career save percentage since 2017-18?
.907 on 13,241 regular-season shots in 470 games, +77.3 goals saved above expected (play-by-play from 2017-18).
Which top shooter has scored the most goals on Jacob Markstrom?
Connor McDavid, with 19 goals on 94 shots on goal (13.0 expected goals) in 32 games, regular season and playoffs.
Who is the toughest shooter for Jacob Markstrom?
By goals above expected, Connor McDavid: 19 goals on 13.0 expected (+6.0) from 128 unblocked attempts.

More on Markstrom and other goalies

From NHL play-by-play since 2017-18, processed by Edgehalla. Expected goals and shot classes from our model; high danger as defined by our shot-quality model.