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NHL Stack Finder: Sunday, Nov 15

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Sunday, Nov 15 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: VGK L3 (Hertl–Olofsson–Connelly) vs VAN.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1VGKL3vs VAN0.68 xG

    Tomas Hertl84%, Victor Olofsson15%, Trevor Connelly34%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2EDML1vs PHI0.68 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3VGKL2vs VAN0.68 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Ivan Barbashev68%, Jack Eichel99%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4DALPP1vs FLA0.60 xG

    Mikko Rantanen99%, Roope Hintz84%, Jason Robertson100%, Miro Heiskanen99%, Wyatt Johnston100%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5VGKL1vs VAN0.50 xG

    William Karlsson24%, Mitch Marner99%, Brett Howden16%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6VGKPP1vs VAN0.47 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl84%, Shea Theodore92%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7FLAL1vs DAL0.46 xG

    Carter Verhaeghe72%, Sam Bennett83%, Matthew Tkachuk100%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8ANAL2vs CGY0.43 xG

    A.J. Greer7.6%, Cutter Gauthier98%, Leo Carlsson94%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9EDMPP1vs PHI0.41 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Kasperi Kapanen12%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10FLAL2vs DAL0.41 xG

    Eetu Luostarinen15%, Anton Lundell47%, Sandis Vilmanis6.4%

    Matchup factors →

By game

EDM @ PHI

FLA @ DAL

CGY @ ANA

VAN @ VGK

NSH @ SJS

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.