WR · Buffalo Bills
Josh Palmer fantasy stats and usage
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What changed
Snap share 35% → 45% over the last 2 weeks.
Weeks 3 and 4 vs weeks 1, 2.
Next: Week 5 @ LAR, Mon 8:15 PM ET; Bills implied for 26 points
Usage by week
Snap share
59%▲252026 avg 40% · 2025 48%
Target share
13%▲72026 avg 8% · 2025 10%
Carry share
0%2026 avg 0% · 2025 0%
Air-yards share
39%▲282026 avg 18% · 2025 14%
2026 season2025 season
Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.
Carries / team rush attempts.
2026: 9 targets, 0 carries, 0 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 4 games.
Breakout outlook and route depth
50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.
Steady Expected points 3.6 → 2.9 a game; 16% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3. All breakout candidates
Route share (est.)
46%
2025: 56%
Targets per route (est.)
0.13
2025: 0.15
Yards per route (est.)
1.16
2025: 1.23
aDOT
23.4
air yards per target
Air-yards share
18%
2025: 14%
Routes (est.)
69
9 targets in 4 games
Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.
Separation
2.5 yd
at the catch or incompletion
Cushion
6.2 yd
at the snap
YAC over expected
+0.2
per catch
Next Gen Stats via nflverse, 2025, 2 qualifying weeks (14 targets), target-weighted.
Josh Palmer
Projection
Week 5 vs LAR · Edgehalla model (nfl-1.1.0)
4.3 PPR pts
80% range 0–10 · plays ~87% (points assume he plays)
- Targets
- 3
- Rec
- 1
- Rec yds
- 24
- Carries
- 0
- Rush yds
- 0
- Scrimmage TD
- 0.1
Latest news
No recent headlines tagged to Josh Palmer.
Depth chart: WR4 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · RWR1 per Fantasy Nerds (Oct 6, 11:18 AM ET) · full Bills depth chart
Game log
Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.
- Games
- 4
- Total (PPR)
- 23.0
- Per game
- 5.8
| Opp | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ HOU | 31% | 2 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 2 | vs DET | 38% | 3 | 1 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11.3 |
| 3 | vs LAC | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | vs NE | 59% | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
Splits
Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to WRs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.
2026: home vs away
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 4.2 | -1.5 |
| Away | 1 | 10.4 | +4.7 |
2026: by opponent defense vs WR
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough defenses (ranks 1–8) | 0 | – | – |
| Middle defenses (9–24) | 2 | 0.7 | -5.1 |
| Soft defenses (25–32) | 2 | 10.8 | +5.1 |
2025: home vs away
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 4.2 | -0.1 |
| Away | 5 | 4.5 | +0.2 |
2025: by opponent defense vs WR
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough defenses (ranks 1–8) | 3 | 2.5 | -1.9 |
| Middle defenses (9–24) | 8 | 4.2 | -0.1 |
| Soft defenses (25–32) | 1 | 11.1 | +6.7 |
How this works
Snap share is the share of the Bills’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.
The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).
Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 4 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many fantasy points does Josh Palmer score per game in 2026?
Josh Palmer averages 5.8 PPR points per game over 4 games in 2026 (5.4 in half-PPR, 5.0 in standard scoring).
What is Josh Palmer’s snap share and role?
Josh Palmer has played 40% of the Buffalo Bills’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 8% target share. He has 0 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.
When is Josh Palmer’s bye week?
The Buffalo Bills have their bye in Week 7, so Josh Palmer won’t play that week.