AFC East · 2026 season
Buffalo Bills depth chart and fantasy outlook
- Record
- 3-1
- Points/game
- 31.8
- Pace
- 16th fastest
- Next game
- Week 5 @ LAR · Mon 8:15 PM ET
More
What changed
Dalton Kincaid target share 25% → 9%; Ty Johnson target share 0% → 11% over the last 2 weeks.
Weeks 3 and 4 vs weeks 1, 2.
Target and carry tree
Each player’s share of the team’s targets and carries this season and over the last 3 weeks (arrows show the change vs the earlier weeks).
Targets
| Player | Tgt | Season share | Last 3 wk | Air yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khalil ShakirWR | 23 | 21% | 20% | 13% |
 DJ MooreWR | 20 | 18% | 14%▼14 | 26% |
 Dalton KincaidTE | 19 | 17% | 15%▼6 | 21% |
 Keon ColemanWR | 16 | 14% | 18%▲14 | 18% |
 James CookRB | 10 | 9% | 7%▼7 | 0% |
 Josh PalmerWR | 9 | 8% | 8% | 18% |
 Dawson KnoxTE | 6 | 5% | 6% | 1% |
 Ty JohnsonRB | 6 | 5% | 7%▲7 | 0% |
Carries
| Player | Car | Season share | Last 3 wk |
|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 70 | 64% | 64% |
 Josh AllenQB | 33 | 30% | 30% |
| DJ MooreWR | 2 | 2% | 2% |
 Ray DavisRB | 2 | 2% | 1%▼4 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 1% | 1% |
 Frank Gore Jr.RB | 1 | 1% | 0%▼5 |
Pace, pass rate and efficiency
Season averages with the Bills’ rank among 32 teams and the league average.
Plays per game
62.3
21st · league 64.1
Neutral seconds per play
31.6
16th · league 31.9
Neutral pass rate
59%
13th · league 58%
Pass rate over expected
-3.7
21st · league -1.6
Offense EPA/play
+0.20
2nd · league +0.01
Defense EPA/play allowed
+0.11
29th · league +0.01
Points per game
31.8
1st · league 23.1
Points allowed per game
26.8
25th · league 23.1
Depth chart
nflverse · updated Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET
- QB
- 1.Josh Allen2.Kyle Allen
- K
- 1.Tyler Bass
Fantasy Nerds · updated Oct 6, 11:18 AM ET
- QB
- 1.Josh Allen2.Kyle Allen
- RB
- 1.James Cook2.Ray Davis3.Ty Johnson
- LWR
- 1.D.J. Moore2.Keon Coleman
- RWR
- 1.Josh Palmer3.Greg Dortch
- SWR
- 1.Khalil Shakir2.Skyler Bell
- K
- 1.Tyler Bass
Schedule and Vegas lines
| Wk | Opponent | Result / kickoff | Spread | Total | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @HOU | W 36-31 | -1.5 | 44.5 | 23 |
| 2 | vsDET | W 41-31 | -5.5 | 54.5 | 30 |
| 3 | vsLAC | W 24-16 | -7 | 50.5 | 28.75 |
| 4 | vsNE | L 26-29 | -7 | 49.5 | 28.25 |
| 5 | @LAR | Mon 8:15 PM ET, Oct 12 | +2.5 | 54.5 | 26 |
| 6 | @LV | Sun 4:25 PM ET, Oct 18 | – | – | – |
| 8 | vsBAL | Sun 1:00 PM ET, Nov 1 | – | – | – |
| 9 | @MIN | Mon 8:15 PM ET, Nov 9 | – | – | – |
| 10 | @NYJ | Sun 1:00 PM ET, Nov 15 | – | – | – |
| 11 | vsMIA | Sun 1:00 PM ET, Nov 22 | – | – | – |
| 12 | vsKC | Thu 8:20 PM ET, Nov 26 | – | – | – |
| 13 | @NE | Sun 4:25 PM ET, Dec 6 | – | – | – |
| 14 | @GB | Sun 8:20 PM ET, Dec 13 | – | – | – |
| 15 | vsCHI | Sat 8:20 PM ET, Dec 19 | – | – | – |
| 16 | @DEN | Fri 4:30 PM ET, Dec 25 | – | – | – |
| 17 | @MIA | Sun 1:00 PM ET, Jan 3 | – | – | – |
| 18 | vsNYJ | Sun 1:00 PM ET, Jan 10 | – | – | – |
Closing lines for played games; current lines for upcoming games. Implied points = half the total plus or minus half the spread.
Injuries
Week 5 report
- Christian BenfordCBQToe
- Dee AlfordCBQAnkle
- Demetrius Flannigan-FowlesLBQUndisclosed
- DJ MooreWRQShoulder
- Dorian StrongCBNFINeck
- Ed OliverDTQKnee
- Grant DuBoseWRQShoulder
- Jalen VirgilWRQUndisclosed
- Jordan HancockCBIRHamstring
- Jordan PhillipsDTQAnkle
- Jordan PoyerFSQHamstring
- T.J. SandersDTQAppendix
- Tyrell ShaversWRPUPKnee - Acl
- Zane DurantDTIRUndisclosed
Fantasy points allowed
2026 season averages by position, not adjusted for opponents. Rank 1st = fewest allowed (toughest matchup).
| Pos | PPR allowed/G | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 21.3 | 16.8 | 29th · soft |
| RB | 27.9 | 21.7 | 28th · soft |
| WR | 41.0 | 32.5 | 30th · soft |
| TE | 11.3 | 13.5 | 16th |
Adjusted for offenses faced (PPR): vs QB 29th · vs RB 29th · vs WR 32nd · vs TE 2nd. Defense vs positionNoisy this early in the season: weight it lightly.
How this works
Shares are the player’s targets or carries divided by the team total for the same weeks. Pace is the average seconds between snaps on the same drive in neutral situations; neutral pass rate counts plays while the game is competitive, so it reflects the play-caller’s preference rather than the score. EPA per play is the average expected points added (nflverse model).
The depth chart shows each source’s latest snapshot with its time, nflverse first. Fantasy points allowed sum what every opposing QB, RB, WR and TE scored, divided by games played.
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, Fantasy Nerds (depth chart)
Frequently asked questions
How fast do the Bills play?
The Buffalo Bills average 31.6 seconds between snaps in neutral situations in 2026, 16th-fastest of 32 teams, and run 62.3 offensive plays per game. In neutral game situations they pass on 59% of plays (13th of 32).
Who leads the Bills in targets?
Khalil Shakir has 21% of the Bills’ targets in 2026. James Cook leads the backfield with 64% of the carries.
How good are the Bills on offense and defense?
By expected points added per play, the Bills offense ranks 2nd (+0.20) and the defense ranks 29th (+0.11 allowed) in 2026.