Edgehalla

RB · Buffalo Bills

Ray Davis fantasy stats and usage

Ray Davis
Team
BUFRB
Age
26
Bye
Week 7
Status
QQuestionable
  • AscensionSteady46· 10% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3
  • Week 4 report: Questionable · Hamstring · Limited Participation in Practice
  • Depth chart: RB3 (nflverse)
Scoring
More

What changed

No big swing in snap, target or carry share over the last two weeks.

Next: Week 5 @ LAR, Mon 8:15 PM ET; Bills implied for 26 points

Usage by week

  • Snap share

    7%▼3

    2026 avg 10% · 2025 14%

  • Target share

    3%▲3

    2026 avg 1% · 2025 3%

  • Carry share

    5%▲3

    2026 avg 3% · 2025 9%

2026 season2025 season

Snap share7%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 9%Week 1, 2026: 9%Week 2, 2026: 14%Week 2, 2026: 14%Week 3, 2026: 8%Week 3, 2026: 8%Week 4, 2026: 7%Week 4, 2026: 7%
Carry share5%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 5%Week 1, 2026: 5%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 4, 2026: 5%Week 4, 2026: 5%

Carries / team rush attempts.

Target share3%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0%Week 1, 2026: 0%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 4, 2026: 3%Week 4, 2026: 3%
Red-zone opportunities0Wk 4
024Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0Week 1, 2026: 0Week 2, 2026: 0Week 2, 2026: 0Week 3, 2026: 0Week 3, 2026: 0Week 4, 2026: 0Week 4, 2026: 0
Goal-line carries0Wk 4
012Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0Week 1, 2026: 0Week 2, 2026: 0Week 2, 2026: 0Week 3, 2026: 0Week 3, 2026: 0Week 4, 2026: 0Week 4, 2026: 0
Route participation (proxy)
0%50%100%Wk 161218

Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.

2026: 1 targets, 2 carries, 0 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 4 games.

Breakout outlook and route depth

Ascension score by week46Wk 4
2540506075Wk 148Through week 2: 43Through week 3: 42Through week 4: 46

50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.

Steady Snap share 12% → 8% and route share 10% → 7% (est.); 10% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3. All breakout candidates

  • Route share (est.)

    9%

    2025: 12%

  • Targets per route (est.)

    0.08

    2025: 0.18

  • Yards per route (est.)

    0.31

    2025: 1.20

  • aDOT

    -7.0

    air yards per target

  • Air-yards share

    -1%

    2025: 0%

  • Routes (est.)

    13

    1 targets in 4 games

Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.

Ray Davis

Projection

Week 5 vs LAR · Edgehalla model (nfl-1.1.0)

2.4 PPR pts

80% range 0–6 · plays ~87% (points assume he plays)

Targets
1
Rec
0
Rec yds
3
Carries
2
Rush yds
10
Scrimmage TD
0.1

See all projections

Latest news

No recent headlines tagged to Ray Davis.

Depth chart: RB3 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · RB2 per Fantasy Nerds (Oct 6, 11:18 AM ET) · full Bills depth chart

Game log

Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.

Games
4
Total (PPR)
2.0
Per game
0.5
2026 game log
Opp
1@ HOU9%13000000.3
2vs DET14%00000000.0
3vs LAC8%00000000.0
4vs NE7%13011401.7

Splits

Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to RBs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.

2026: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home30.6+0.1
Away10.3-0.2

2026: by opponent defense vs RB

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)10.3-0.2
Middle defenses (9–24)30.6+0.1
Soft defenses (25–32)0––

2025: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home93.3-0.5
Away84.3+0.6

2025: by opponent defense vs RB

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)42.1-1.6
Middle defenses (9–24)83.4-0.4
Soft defenses (25–32)55.7+1.9

How this works

Snap share is the share of the Bills’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.

The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).

Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 4 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many fantasy points does Ray Davis score per game in 2026?

Ray Davis averages 0.5 PPR points per game over 4 games in 2026 (0.4 in half-PPR, 0.3 in standard scoring).

What is Ray Davis’s snap share and role?

Ray Davis has played 10% of the Buffalo Bills’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 1% target share, and 3% of the team’s carries. He has 0 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.

When is Ray Davis’s bye week?

The Buffalo Bills have their bye in Week 7, so Ray Davis won’t play that week.