Edgehalla

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray fantasy stats and usage

Noah Gray
Team
KCTE
Age
27
Bye
Week 5
Status
No injury designation
  • AscensionRising70· 21% chance of a top-12 week in the next 3
  • Depth chart: TE2 (nflverse)
Scoring
More

What changed

Target share 3% → 12%; snap share 53% → 66% over the last 2 weeks.

Weeks 3 and 4 vs weeks 1, 2.

Next: Week 6 vs LAC, Sun 4:25 PM ET

Usage by week

  • Snap share

    68%▲12

    2026 avg 59% · 2025 52%

  • Target share

    11%▲5

    2026 avg 8% · 2025 7%

  • Carry share

    0%

    2026 avg 0% · 2025 0%

  • Air-yards share

    4%▼3

    2026 avg 6% · 2025 5%

2026 season2025 season

Snap share68%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 55%Week 1, 2026: 55%Week 2, 2026: 50%Week 2, 2026: 50%Week 3, 2026: 63%Week 3, 2026: 63%Week 4, 2026: 68%Week 4, 2026: 68%
Target share11%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 4%Week 1, 2026: 4%Week 2, 2026: 2%Week 2, 2026: 2%Week 3, 2026: 13%Week 3, 2026: 13%Week 4, 2026: 11%Week 4, 2026: 11%
Air-yards share4%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 4%Week 1, 2026: 4%Week 2, 2026: 4%Week 2, 2026: 4%Week 3, 2026: 14%Week 3, 2026: 14%Week 4, 2026: 4%Week 4, 2026: 4%
Red-zone opportunities1Wk 4
012Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0Week 1, 2026: 0Week 2, 2026: 0Week 2, 2026: 0Week 3, 2026: 1Week 3, 2026: 1Week 4, 2026: 1Week 4, 2026: 1
Route participation (proxy)
0%50%100%Wk 161218

Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.

Carry share0%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 0%Week 1, 2026: 0%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 4, 2026: 0%Week 4, 2026: 0%

Carries / team rush attempts.

2026: 8 targets, 0 carries, 2 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 4 games.

Breakout outlook and route depth

Ascension score by week70Wk 4
2540506075Wk 148Through week 2: 42Through week 3: 58Through week 4: 70

50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.

Rising Expected points 1.4 → 6.4 a game and route share 47% → 61% (est.) in a bigger role; 21% chance of a top-12 week in the next 3. All breakout candidates

  • Route share (est.)

    53%

    2025: 46%

  • Targets per route (est.)

    0.10

    2025: 0.12

  • Yards per route (est.)

    0.78

    2025: 0.57

  • aDOT

    6.4

    air yards per target

  • Air-yards share

    6%

    2025: 5%

  • Routes (est.)

    78

    8 targets in 4 games

Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.

  • Separation

    3.6 yd

    at the catch or incompletion

  • Cushion

    6.7 yd

    at the snap

  • YAC over expected

    +0.5

    per catch

Next Gen Stats via nflverse, 2025, 3 qualifying weeks (16 targets), target-weighted.

Noah Gray

Projection

Rest of 2026 season (13 games) · Edgehalla model (nfl-1.1.0)

46.2 PPR pts

80% range 29–63

Rec
18
Rec yds
190
Rush yds
1
Scrimmage TD
1.4

See all projections

Latest news

No recent headlines tagged to Noah Gray.

Depth chart: TE2 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · TE2 per Fantasy Nerds (Oct 6, 11:18 AM ET) · full Chiefs depth chart

Game log

Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.

Games
4
Total (PPR)
12.1
Per game
3.0
2026 game log
Opp
1vs DEN55%1150001.5
2vs IND50%1000000.0
3@ MIA63%33390006.9
4@ LV68%32170003.7

Splits

Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to TEs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.

2026: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home20.8-2.3
Away25.3+2.3

2026: by opponent defense vs TE

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)0––
Middle defenses (9–24)31.7-1.3
Soft defenses (25–32)16.9+3.9

2025: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home92.7+0.2
Away72.1-0.3

2025: by opponent defense vs TE

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)71.9-0.5
Middle defenses (9–24)72.2-0.2
Soft defenses (25–32)24.9+2.5

How this works

Snap share is the share of the Chiefs’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.

The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).

Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 4 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many fantasy points does Noah Gray score per game in 2026?

Noah Gray averages 3.0 PPR points per game over 4 games in 2026 (2.3 in half-PPR, 1.5 in standard scoring).

What is Noah Gray’s snap share and role?

Noah Gray has played 59% of the Kansas City Chiefs’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 8% target share. He has 2 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.

When is Noah Gray’s bye week?

The Kansas City Chiefs have their bye in Week 5, so Noah Gray won’t play that week.