Edgehalla

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tez Johnson fantasy stats and usage

Tez Johnson
Team
TBWR
Age
24
Bye
Week 10
Status
No injury designation
  • AscensionSteady43· 13% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3
  • Depth chart: WR4 (nflverse)
Scoring
More

What changed

Snap share 26% → 40% over the last 2 weeks.

Weeks 3 and 4 vs weeks 1, 2.

Next: Week 5 @ DAL, Thu 8:15 PM ET; Buccaneers implied for 19 points

Likely matchup · Week 5 vs DAL

Tough

Lines up: Right outside (depth chart). Likely corner: Joey Porter Jr. (Left corner, 65 tgt, 58 rating, #6/196).

A likely matchup from alignment and the depth chart, not shadow coverage. Corner stats are a weak signal: use it as a tiebreaker. All matchups

Usage by week

  • Snap share

    56%▲31

    2026 avg 33% · 2025 47%

  • Target share

    8%▲1

    2026 avg 7% · 2025 9%

  • Carry share

    3%▲1

    2026 avg 2% · 2025 1%

  • Air-yards share

    13%▼5

    2026 avg 17% · 2025 13%

2026 season2025 season

Snap share56%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 23%Week 1, 2026: 23%Week 2, 2026: 29%Week 2, 2026: 29%Week 3, 2026: 23%Week 3, 2026: 23%Week 4, 2026: 56%Week 4, 2026: 56%
Target share8%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 4%Week 1, 2026: 4%Week 2, 2026: 12%Week 2, 2026: 12%Week 3, 2026: 6%Week 3, 2026: 6%Week 4, 2026: 8%Week 4, 2026: 8%
Air-yards share13%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 6%Week 1, 2026: 6%Week 2, 2026: 36%Week 2, 2026: 36%Week 3, 2026: 12%Week 3, 2026: 12%Week 4, 2026: 13%Week 4, 2026: 13%
Red-zone opportunities0Wk 4
023Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 1Week 1, 2026: 1Week 2, 2026: 1Week 2, 2026: 1Week 3, 2026: 0Week 3, 2026: 0Week 4, 2026: 0Week 4, 2026: 0
Route participation (proxy)
0%50%100%Wk 161218

Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.

Carry share3%Wk 4
0%50%100%Wk 161218Week 1, 2026: 5%Week 1, 2026: 5%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 2, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 3, 2026: 0%Week 4, 2026: 3%Week 4, 2026: 3%

Carries / team rush attempts.

2026: 9 targets, 2 carries, 2 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 4 games.

Breakout outlook and route depth

Ascension score by week43Wk 4
2540506075Wk 148Through week 2: 49Through week 3: 46Through week 4: 43

50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.

Steady Expected points 6.2 → 3.1 a game; 13% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3. All breakout candidates

  • Route share (est.)

    34%

    2025: 49%

  • Targets per route (est.)

    0.16

    2025: 0.14

  • Yards per route (est.)

    1.28

    2025: 1.04

  • aDOT

    25.0

    air yards per target

  • Air-yards share

    17%

    2025: 13%

  • Routes (est.)

    58

    9 targets in 4 games

Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.

  • Separation

    3.3 yd

    at the catch or incompletion

  • Cushion

    5.6 yd

    at the snap

  • YAC over expected

    +0.0

    per catch

Next Gen Stats via nflverse, 2025, 3 qualifying weeks (20 targets), target-weighted.

Tez Johnson

Projection

Week 5 vs DAL · Edgehalla model (nfl-1.1.0)

4.3 PPR pts

80% range 0–10 · plays ~87% (points assume he plays)

Targets
3
Rec
2
Rec yds
19
Carries
0
Rush yds
2
Scrimmage TD
0.1

See all projections

Latest news

No recent headlines tagged to Tez Johnson.

Depth chart: WR4 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · RWR2 per Fantasy Nerds (Oct 6, 11:18 AM ET) · full Buccaneers depth chart

Game log

Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.

Games
4
Total (PPR)
12.0
Per game
3.0
2026 game log
Opp
1@ CIN23%10001-4-0.4
2vs CLE29%41490005.9
3vs MIN23%2180001.8
4vs GB56%221701104.7

Splits

Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to WRs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.

2026: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home34.1+1.1
Away1-0.4-3.4

2026: by opponent defense vs WR

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)0––
Middle defenses (9–24)32.0-1.0
Soft defenses (25–32)15.9+2.9

2025: home vs away

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Home84.8-0.9
Away86.7+0.9

2025: by opponent defense vs WR

SplitGPPR/Gvs avg
Tough defenses (ranks 1–8)53.6-2.2
Middle defenses (9–24)105.9+0.1
Soft defenses (25–32)115.8+10.0

How this works

Snap share is the share of the Buccaneers’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.

The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).

Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 4 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many fantasy points does Tez Johnson score per game in 2026?

Tez Johnson averages 3.0 PPR points per game over 4 games in 2026 (2.5 in half-PPR, 2.0 in standard scoring).

What is Tez Johnson’s snap share and role?

Tez Johnson has played 33% of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 7% target share. He has 2 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.

When is Tez Johnson’s bye week?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have their bye in Week 10, so Tez Johnson won’t play that week.